Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 11

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Red Bull Arena (Leipzig) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Petersen M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 4, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 2
Angola	15:30	Z Sports 1
Argentina	11:30	Disney+
Armenia	18:30	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	—	MBC Action
Australia	01:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	15:30	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Brazil	11:30	Caze TV, SporTV
Bulgaria	16:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada
China	22:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Czech Republic	15:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Georgia	18:30	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	15:30	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports Start
Hong Kong	22:30	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	15:30	Arena 4, Match 4
Iceland	14:30	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	20:00	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5, Vision+
Indonesia	21:30	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	16:30	Sport 3
Italy	15:30	Sky Sport MIX
Japan	23:30	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	20:30	Setanta Sports
Laos	21:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	22:30	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Maldives	19:30	Medianet
Malta	15:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	08:30	Sky Sport
Mongolia	22:30	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:30	beIN Connect, TVWan Sports 2
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	15:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:30	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	19:30	Tapmad
Peru	09:30	Disney+
Philippines	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	15:30	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	14:30	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	16:30	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	17:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	17:30	Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	22:30	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	15:30	Sport TV2, Voyo
South Korea	23:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	21:30	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, PPTV Sports
Turkey	17:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	16:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	14:30	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	11:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	10:30	Disney+
Vietnam	21:30	TV 360
International	14:30	Onefootball


	RB Leipzig		Werder Bremen

	1	X	2
	1.48	5	5.5	Watch
	1.47	4.95	5.9	Watch
	1.46	5.3	6.37
	1.50	5.04	5.32	Watch
				Watch
	1.51	5.26	6.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.5)	5.11 ↑ (5.02)	5.84 ↑ (5.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RB Leipzig
64.8%

Draw
18.8%

Werder Bremen
16.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.7%

19%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

18.3%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Werder Bremen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	6.1%	3%

RB Leipzig - Werder Bremen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - RB Leipzig (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: RB Leipzig will win (29 of 32 users predict this - 90.63%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.53% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): RB Leipzig will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. RB Leipzig (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gulacsi P. (G) 17. Baku R. 4. Orban W. 23. Lukeba C. 22. Raum D. (C) 20. Ouedraogo A. 13. Seiwald N. 14. Baumgartner C. 49. Diomande Y. 11. Harder C. 7. Nusa A.	30. Backhaus M. (G) 3. Sugawara Y. 5. Pieper A. 31. Coulibaly K. 32. Friedl M. (C) 6. Stage J. 14. Lynen S. 18. Puertas C. 20. Schmid R. 17. Grull M. 9. Topp K.
Substitutes
9. Bakayoko J. 6. Banzuzi E. 35. Finkgrafe M. 27. Gomis T. 16. Klostermann L. 33. Maksimovic A. 19. Nedeljkovic K. 24. Schlager X. 26. Vandevoordt M. (G)	28. Alvero S. 10. Bittencourt L. 44. Boniface V. 24. Covic P. 13. Hein K. (G) 7. Mbangula S. 11. Njinmah J. 23. Schmidt I. 4. Stark N.
Coaches
Werner O.	Steffen H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Friedl M. 🟨,
41', Harder C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', 1 - 0, Ouedraogo A. ⚽, Baku R. (A),
68', Nusa A. ↓, Bakayoko J. ↑,
68', Harder C. ↓, Schlager X. ↑,
69', Pieper A. 🟨,
73', Puertas C. ↓, Njinmah J. ↑,
73', Grull M. ↓, Boniface V. ↑,
73', Topp K. ↓, Mbangula S. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Schlager X. ⚽, Baumgartner C. (A),
89', Lynen S. ↓, Covic P. ↑,
90+1', Baumgartner C. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
90+1', Ouedraogo A. ↓, Banzuzi E. ↑,
90+4', Diomande Y. ↓, Finkgrafe M. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, RB Leipzig is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in RB Leipzig: Bitshiabu E. (Muscle Injury) Gebel V. (Knee Injury) Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Werder: Agu F. (Ankle Injury) Deman O. (Ankle Injury) Weiser M. (Knee Injury) Wober M. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Kampl K. (Personal Reasons)

There are questionable in Werder: Stark N. (Hip Injury)

We predict that RB Leipzig will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:21. (average 1.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, RB Leipzig won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:8. (average 2.4:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga
08.11.25	Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	RB Leipzig - Stuttgart	3:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Energie Cottbus - RB Leipzig	1:4 ✺
German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Augsburg - RB Leipzig	0:6 ✺
18.10.25	RB Leipzig - Hamburger SV	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWWW
- Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga
07.11.25	Werder Bremen - Wolfsburg	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Mainz - Werder Bremen	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Werder Bremen - Union Berlin	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Heidenheim - Werder Bremen	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Werder Bremen - St. Pauli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
10.05.25	Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig	0:0
12.01.25	RB Leipzig - Werder Bremen	4:2
11.05.24	RB Leipzig - Werder Bremen	1:1
19.12.23	Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig	1:1
14.05.23	RB Leipzig - Werder Bremen	2:1
12.11.22	Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig	1:2
German DFB Pokal
30.04.21	Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig	1:2 ET

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