Match Info

URUGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 10

Date: 16 November 2023, Thursday


	Boston River		La Luz

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.25	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3.1
	2.22	3.5	3.36
	2.22	3.5	3.36
	2.05	3.3	3.1
	2.11	3.38	3.24	Watch
	2.18	3.25	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.75)	3.31 ↓ (3.6)	3.21 ↓ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston River
43.1%

Draw
28%

La Luz
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

25.4%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

24.7%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boston River's form might have worsened.

La Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting La Luz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boston River, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for La Luz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Boston River - La Luz Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Boston River will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). La Luz will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva S. (G) 5. Rodriguez G. 15. Cougo A. 17. Beltran E. 23. Valdez C. (C) 30. Allala Menendez G. F. 8. Barrios F. 14. Fernandez M. 18. Riasco J. 24. Gutierrez J. 34. Amado A.	25. Correa Gonzalez F. N. (G) 13. Ancheta E. 2. Paolini M. 4. Gonzalez M. 8. Viera R. (C) 23. Castillo E. 14. Porcile P. 20. Rabunal M. 28. Barreto F. 30. Quintana J. 99. Gonzalez D.
Substitutes
35. Abatte B. 11. Alcocer B. 31. Camarda F. 4. Corbo S. 2. Costa L. 12. Gonzalez J. (G) 21. Mendez L. 27. Rodriguez G. 33. Rodriguez K. 25. Sosa E. 16. Suhr L.	24. Baeza J. 5. De Los Santos M. 22. Fagundez P. 15. Gonzalez A. 26. Machado L. 6. Martirena F. 1. Mendez R. (G) 10. Osores B. 3. Padula Lenna G. 9. Scorza B.
Coaches
Apud Varela A. R.	Russo M.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 11).

Boston River is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches La Luz is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Boston River will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Boston River won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Boston River won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston River
Uruguayan Primera Division
12.11.23	Montevideo Wanderers - Boston River	0:2 ✺
04.11.23	Boston River - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
28.10.23	Universitario Salto - Boston River	1:3 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
24.10.23	Danubio - Boston River	1:1 ✺
19.10.23	Boston River - Nacional Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WTWTW
- La Luz FC
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.11.23	La Luz - Cerro	1:2 ✺
05.11.23	Racing Montevideo - La Luz	1:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
29.10.23	Rampla Juniors - La Luz	2:3 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.10.23	La Luz - Plaza Colonia	1:1 ✺
18.10.23	Cerro Largo - La Luz	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
17.06.23	Boston River - La Luz	4:0
10.04.23	La Luz - Boston River	2:1

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