Match Info

URUGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 9

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	La Luz		Cerro

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.2	Watch
	2.27	3.24	3.55
	2.26	3.24	3.55
	2.1	3.1	3.2
	2.16	3.16	3.34	Watch
	2.21	3.15	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.95)	3.16 ↓ (3.2)	3.32 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

La Luz
42.5%

Draw
29.5%

Cerro
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

27.9%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

26.7%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Cerro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for La Luz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (-3%)

La Luz - Cerro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Correa Gonzalez F. N. (G) 13. Ancheta E. 2. Paolini M. 4. Gonzalez M. 23. Castillo E. 8. Viera R. (C) 14. Porcile P. 30. Quintana J. 10. Osores B. 9. Scorza B. 26. Machado L.	12. Araujo G. (G) 29. Souza F. 13. Lacoste P. 24. Gomez N. 16. Abero M. 5. Brum R. (C) 20. Perez G. 7. Rodriguez L. 11. Tizon C. 8. Peralta M. 33. Nandin D.
Substitutes
28. Barreto F. 22. Fagundez P. 32. Ferreira B. 15. Gonzalez A. 99. Gonzalez D. 11. Lemos E. 6. Martirena F. 1. Mendez R. (G) 21. Pucheta J. 20. Rabunal M.	23. Acosta N. 4. Alvarez E. 25. Bonifazi I. (G) 18. Cabrera M. 30. Caceres S. 17. Coccaro D. 21. Coronel J. 19. Femia E. 2. Ramos N. 32. Tancredi J.
Coaches
Russo M.	Santin D.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 15).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

La Luz will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches La Luz won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams La Luz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Luz FC
Uruguayan Primera Division
05.11.23	Racing Montevideo - La Luz	1:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
29.10.23	Rampla Juniors - La Luz	2:3 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.10.23	La Luz - Plaza Colonia	1:1 ✺
18.10.23	Cerro Largo - La Luz	1:3 ✺
14.10.23	La Luz - Liverpool Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWTWL
- CA Cerro
Uruguay Copa
07.11.23	Ferro Carril - Cerro	0:1 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.11.23	Cerro - Montevideo Wanderers	0:1 ✺
22.10.23	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Cerro	1:1 ✺
19.10.23	Cerro - Danubio	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Nacional Montevideo - Cerro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
02.04.23	Cerro - La Luz	0:0
Uruguayan Segunda Division
17.09.22	La Luz - Cerro	0:1
17.08.22	Cerro - La Luz	3:0
17.04.22	Cerro - La Luz	1:2

Upcoming Matches