Match Info

URUGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 6

Date: 18 October 2023, Wednesday


	Cerro Largo		La Luz

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.2	Watch
	2.33	3.1	3.55
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	2.17	3.16	3.32	Watch
	2.18	3.15	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.29)	3.13 ↓ (3.24)	3.31 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro Largo
42.2%

Draw
29.7%

La Luz
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

28.6%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

28.1%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

La Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	27.3%	18.2%

Cerro Largo - La Luz Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cerro Largo will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). La Luz will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerro Largo: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Haran T. (G) 5. Galletto T. 19. Brasil M. (C) 14. Correa L. 13. Furtado N. 21. Viera S. 18. Lima A. 8. Rabino R. 10. Alaniz M. 9. Villar E. 22. Da Costa F.	25. Correa Gonzalez F. N. (G) 3. Padula Lenna G. 2. Paolini M. 4. Gonzalez M. 30. Quintana J. 8. Viera R. 14. Porcile P. 23. Castillo E. 16. Hernandez A. (C) 21. Pucheta J. 26. Machado L.
Substitutes
40. Brandao M. (G) 15. De Lucca A. 26. Fernandez J. 4. Ferrares B. 6. Garcia R. 27. Mir M. 7. Nunez F. 25. Palavecino F. 23. Pereira H.	28. Barreto F. 7. Boselli J. 22. Fagundez P. 32. Ferreira B. 99. Gonzalez D. 11. Lemos E. 6. Martirena F. 20. Rabunal M. 29. Ramis J. 31. Sanchez R. (G)
Coaches
Ordonez I.	Russo M.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 11).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Cerro Largo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cerro Largo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Largo
Uruguayan Primera Division
14.10.23	Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro Largo	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Cerro Largo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0 ✺
02.09.23	Danubio - Cerro Largo	2:0 ✺
26.08.23	Cerro Largo - Nacional Montevideo	2:2 ✺
19.08.23	River Plate Montevideo - Cerro Largo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWLTT
- La Luz FC
Uruguayan Primera Division
14.10.23	La Luz - Liverpool Montevideo	0:2 ✺
06.10.23	Montevideo City Torque - La Luz	1:0 ✺
02.09.23	La Luz - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
27.08.23	Peñarol de Montevideo - La Luz	2:2 ✺
19.08.23	Montevideo Wanderers - La Luz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
10.03.23	La Luz - Cerro Largo	0:3

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