Match Info

Date: 10 October 2021, Sunday


	Boston River		Villa Española

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	4	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.9
	1.75	3.6	3.8
	1.74	3.65	4
	1.79	4.01	4.41
	1.75	3.6	4
	1.78	3.8	4.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.84)	3.65 ↑ (3.54)	4.03 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston River
51.9%

Draw
25.2%

Villa Española
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

26%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

20.2%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston River has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Villa Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boston River, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Española than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Boston River - Villa Española Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 15).

Recent matches Boston River is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villa Española has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Boston River could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Boston River is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Boston River won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston River
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.10.21	Montevideo City Torque - Boston River	4:3 ✺
26.09.21	Boston River - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:5 ✺
17.09.21	Rentistas - Boston River	1:2 ✺
12.09.21	Boston River - Montevideo Wanderers	1:3 ✺
21.08.21	Deportivo Maldonado - Boston River	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWLW
- CSD Villa Española
Uruguayan Primera Division
02.10.21	Villa Española - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:2 ✺
24.09.21	Plaza Colonia - Villa Española	4:0 ✺
18.09.21	Villa Española - Sud América	1:2 ✺
13.09.21	Progreso - Villa Española	1:1 ✺
22.08.21	Cerro Largo - Villa Española	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
14.06.21	Villa Española - Boston River	2:2
19.11.16	Villa Española - Boston River	0:3

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