Match Info

National League - Round 26

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Jakemans Community Stadium (Boston)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Boston United		Eastleigh

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.25
	2.22	3.2	3.1
	2.19	3.38	3.15	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.1
	2.15	3.13	3.19
	2.22	3.25	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.24)	3.19 ↓ (3.22)	3.17 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston United
42.3%

Draw
28.7%

Eastleigh
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

28.8%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

28.7%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Eastleigh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastleigh than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Boston United - Eastleigh Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lovett R. (G) 40. Lavinier M. 26. Gallagher O. 23. Crowther A. 17. Lankshear A. 19. Richards J. 6. Sloggett G. (C) 11. Donnelly K. 10. Maguire F. 4. Teale C. 14. John-Lewis L. N.	1. Townsend N. (G) 6. Eweka T. 16. Pierre A. 27. Harris A. 20. Pearson S. 17. Lundstram J. 4. Humphries L. (C) 7. Evans K. 14. Waite J. 15. Saunders H. 11. Blair A.
Substitutes
24. Aboh K. 44. Barrett K. (G) 15. Carson M. 18. Fogarty T. 8. Hill D. 16. Hiwula J. 25. Waldock L.	5. Fernandez L. 49. Giles L. 31. Maher N. 9. McCallum P. 22. McNamara J. (G) 56. Spiers W. 18. Wariuh A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Eweka T. 🟨,
9', 1 - 0, Sloggett G. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Saunders H. ⚽,
44', Lavinier M. ↓, Carson M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Richards J. 🟨,
58', Evans K. 🟨,
58', 1 - 2, Blair A. ⚽,
63', Donnelly K. ↓, Aboh K. ↑,
64', Saunders H. ↓, McCallum P. ↑,
64', Pearson S. ↓, Spiers W. ↑,
64', Waite J. ↓, Giles L. ↑,
81', Sloggett G. 🟨,
84', Giles L. 🟨,
88', Maguire F. ↓, Hiwula J. ↑,
89', Lundstram J. ↓, Wariuh A. ↑,
90', Pierre A. 🟨,
90+3', Crowther A. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 18 and 14).

Boston United has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Eastleigh has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Boston United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Boston United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of English National League for now

Eastleigh: 0.35%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Eastleigh	12	4	3	5	14:18	-4	15
20	Boston Utd	12	3	3	6	14:21	-7	12

Last Results with these Odds

Boston United - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.47%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston United
English National League
30.12.25	Boston United - Brackley Town	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	York City - Boston United	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	Boston United - Aldershot Town	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Tamworth - Boston United	2:1 penalties ✺
English National League
06.12.25	Morecambe - Boston United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTLLW
- Eastleigh FC
English National League
30.12.25	Yeovil Town - Eastleigh	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Eastleigh - Woking	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Gateshead - Eastleigh	1:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Eastleigh - Aldershot Town	2:1 ✺
English National League
29.11.25	Rochdale - Eastleigh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
23.08.25	Eastleigh - Boston United	2:0
22.02.25	Boston United - Eastleigh	1:2
26.10.24	Eastleigh - Boston United	1:1

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