Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 9

Date: 19 June 2023, Monday


	Botafogo PB		Náutico Capibaribe

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.3
	2	2.9	4
	2.15	3.03	3.72
	2.05	2.88	3.4
	2.06	3.14	3.54	Watch
	2.03	3.1	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.19)	3.03 ↑ (2.71)	3.59 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo PB
44.5%

Draw
30.1%

Náutico Capibaribe
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

32.9%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

33.5%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Náutico Capibaribe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Botafogo PB - Náutico Capibaribe Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Botafogo PB will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mota (C) 8. Dias W. 20. Gerson Magrao 31. Jailson 34. Lucas Santos 7. Mateus Anderson 35. Netinho 25. Pedro Carrerette 22. Ricardo Luz 9. Tiago Reis 6. Ze Mario	1. Vagner (G) 14. Denilson 6. Diego Matos 7. Gabriel Santiago 99. Jael 5. Jean Mangabeira 3. Odivan 11. Paul Villero 13. Rennan Siqueira 8. Souza 4. Victor Ferraz
Substitutes
17. Bismark 28. Carlos Alexandre 5. Djavan 12. Gustavo Silva (G) 2. Lucas Mendes 19. Marco Antonio 24. Mosquito 16. Natan Costa 10. Renatinho 23. Rogerinho 33. Tenorio 3. Wesley Matos	16. Alisson Santos 22. Berguinho 12. Bruno Lopes (G) 17. Diego Ferreira 20. Eduardo 9. Julio Rodrigues 10. Matheus Carvalho 18. Regis 19. Richarles 23. Thiaguinho 15. Wesley

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Botafogo PB won 1.

Recent matches Botafogo PB is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Náutico is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Náutico could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Botafogo PB will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Botafogo PB won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo PB won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Serie C
10.06.23	Volta Redonda - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
07.06.23	Amazonas - Botafogo PB	0:0 ✺
04.06.23	Botafogo PB - Floresta	1:1 ✺
28.05.23	Figueirense - Botafogo PB	1:2 ✺
20.05.23	Botafogo PB - Pouso Alegre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LTTWT
- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie C
12.06.23	Confiança - Náutico Capibaribe	2:2 ✺
06.06.23	Náutico Capibaribe - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
03.06.23	Pouso Alegre - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1 ✺
27.05.23	Náutico Capibaribe - América RN	0:0 ✺
22.05.23	Náutico Capibaribe - Floresta	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
23.03.22	Botafogo PB - Náutico Capibaribe	1:2 penalties
Club Friendly
20.02.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Botafogo PB	1:1
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
08.02.20	Botafogo PB - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1
Brazilian Serie C
17.08.19	Botafogo PB - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1
03.07.19	Náutico Capibaribe - Botafogo PB	2:1
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
09.05.19	Botafogo PB - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1
Brazilian Serie C
25.06.18	Náutico Capibaribe - Botafogo PB	2:0

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