The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santos 56.1%
Draw 25.8%
Vitória Salvador 18.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.6%
28.4%
24%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.9%
29.8%
22.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos's performance.
Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitória Salvador might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santos that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90.7%
7.4%
1.9%
Santos - Vitória Salvador Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.75 - Santos (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Santos will win
(49 of 54 users predict this - 90.74%). Confidence interval (95%): 83.01% – 98.47%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Santos will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Santos (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 18. Igor Vinicius 4. Lucas Verissimo (C) 14. Luan Peres 31. Escobar G. 15. Willian Arao 28. Oliva C. 49. Gabriel Bontempo 30. Miguelito 22. Barreal A. 9. Gabriel Barbosa
19. Diaz L. 1. Diogenes (G) 27. Fernandes D. 98. Frias A. 26. Joao Ananias 21. Moises 20. Pepe Fermino 81. Pierri S. 8. Rincon T. 7. Robinho Jr. 32. Rollheiser B. 11. Rony
26. Edenilson 6. Emmanuel Martinez 23. Fabricio 35. Fintelman (G) 20. Lucas Silva 7. Marinho 11. Osvaldo 13. Ramon 79. Renato Kayzer 8. Ronald Lopes 12. Tarzia D. 55. Ze Breno
Coaches
Cuca
Jair Ventura
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Willian Arao 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Miguelito ⚽, Oliva C. (A),
21', Caique Goncalves 🟨,
27', Baralhas ↓, Emmanuel Martinez ↑,
45+4', Rene 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Caique Goncalves ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
46', Oliva C. ↓, Pierri S. ↑,
53', Emmanuel Martinez 🟨,
54', 2 - 0, Barreal A. ⚽,
56', 3 - 0, Gabriel Barbosa ⚽, Miguelito (A),
57', Gabriel Barbosa 🟨,
60', Luan Peres ↓, Joao Ananias ↑,
60', Gabriel Barbosa 🟥,
69', Miguelito ↓, Rony ↑,
71', Claudinho ↓, Marinho ↑,
71', Neris ↓, Renato Kayzer ↑,
74', 3 - 1, Rene ⚽, Tarzia D. (A),
75', Gabriel Bontempo ↓, Fernandes D. ↑,
76', Barreal A. ↓, Rollheiser B. ↑,
79', Gabriel Brazao 🟨,
88', Emmanuel Martinez ↓, Osvaldo ↑,
90+2', Luan Candido 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 3.
Santos has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Vitória is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Vitória may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Santos is the team to beat.
There will not play in Santos: Gustavo Henrique
(Red Card)
Joao Schmidt
(Hamstring Injury)
Neymar
(International duty)
Rollheiser B.
(Muscle Injury)
Thaciano
(Hamstring Injury)
Vinicius Lira
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Vitória: Anderson
(Knee Injury)
Caca
(Yellow Cards)
Camutanga
(Broken Leg)
Cantalapiedra A.
(Personal Reasons)
Dudu
(Back Injury)
Edu
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Matheusinho
(Injury)
Ramos R.
(Knee Injury)
Riccieli
(Calf Injury)
There are questionable in Santos: Gabriel Menino
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Vitória: Nathan Mendes
(Injury)
Pedro H.
(Hand Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Santos won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 1.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 2.5:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Santos
29
11
9
9
45:43
2
42
12
Vitoria
30
10
6
14
33:44
-11
36
Last Results with these Odds
Santos - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 47.57%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
Ecuador
Israel
Portugal
Ukraine
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Gabriel Brazao (G) 
Escobar G. 
Oliva C. 
Miguelito 
Rincon T. 
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