Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 6

Date: 27 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico de la UCV (Caracas)

Referee: Betancur Gutierrez C. A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 2
Brazil	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	beIN Connect, fubo Sports Network
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Portugal	Sport TV2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter


	Caracas		Botafogo RJ

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.3	2.05	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.3
	3.7	3.2	1.98	Watch
	4.01	3.24	2.02
	3.59	3.05	2.21	Watch
	3.75	3.2	1.95
	4.11	3.51	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (3.27)	3.24 ↑ (3.11)	2.08 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caracas
25.4%

Draw
29.1%

Botafogo RJ
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

30.1%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

29.3%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	22.2%	55.6%

Caracas - Botafogo RJ Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Caracas will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Botafogo will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Benitez F. (G) 13. Yendis J. 2. Fereira Penaranda E. E. 4. Quintero J. 19. Mago L. (C) 8. Gudino I. 15. Larotonda C. 33. Correa W. 7. Robert Hernandez 9. Fernandez A. 10. Covea M.	1. Raul Steffens (G) 2. Vitinho 3. Ythallo 34. Justino G. 21. Marcal (C) 55. Wallace Davi 14. Barrera J. 88. Edenilson 23. Rodriguez S. 30. Correa J. 9. Ramos C.
Substitutes
22. Figueroa A. 27. Gonzalez S. 36. Gudino D. 14. La Mantia F. 35. Lezama R. 20. Maestre Nino L. A. 11. Marquez M. 34. Martinez Aponte C. A. 3. Pagano L. 17. Reinoso L. 12. Vegas J. (G) 5. Vegas M.	13. Alex Telles 26. Anthony 45. Caio Valle 5. Ferraresi N. 75. Huguinho 42. Kadu Santos 59. Kauan Toledo 24. Leo Linck (G) 11. Matheus Martins 6. Medina C. 4. Ponte M. 77. Villalba Jaume L. M.
Coaches
Melendez H.	Carvalho F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', Quintero J. ↓, La Mantia F. ↑,
25', Benitez F. ↓, Vegas J. ↑,
34', Vitinho 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Ramos C. (Own goal),
45', Wallace Davi 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Wallace Davi ↓, Medina C. ↑,
46', Vitinho ↓, Kadu Santos ↑,
46', Correa W. ↓, Marquez M. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Ramos C. ⚽, Correa J. (A),
63', Barrera J. ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
68', Fereira Penaranda E. E. 🟨,
71', Edenilson ↓, Caio Valle ↑,
71', Ramos C. ↓, Kauan Toledo ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Kauan Toledo ⚽, Correa J. (A),
77', Robert Hernandez ↓, Martinez Aponte C. A. ↑,
77', Fernandez A. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
87', Mago L. 🟨,
90', Matheus Martins 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 3, Correa J. ⚽,

Preview

Caracas is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Botafogo is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Caracas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Botafogo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Caracas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Botafogo has had a series of away games.

Botafogo could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Caracas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Caracas - the odds 3.27 are the expected chance of winning is 28.59%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Botafogo RJ - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.35%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caracas FC
Copa Sudamericana
21.05.26	Racing - Caracas	2:2 ✺
05.05.26	Independiente Petroleros - Caracas	2:3 ✺
29.04.26	Caracas - Racing	1:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
25.04.26	Caracas - Rayo Zuliano	2:1 ✺
20.04.26	Zamora - Caracas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.7 TWTWT
- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
23.05.26	São Paulo - Botafogo RJ	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.05.26	Independiente Petroleros - Botafogo RJ	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
17.05.26	Botafogo RJ - Corinthians	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
14.05.26	Chapecoense - Botafogo RJ	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.05.26	Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
09.04.26	Botafogo RJ - Caracas	1:1

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