Match Info

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday


	Botafogo SP		Ceará

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.20	3.00	3.20
	2.18	3.1	3.25
	2.24	3.22	3.19	Watch
	2.27	3.15	3.11
	2.17	3.1	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.38)	3.11 ↓ (3.15)	3.19 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
41.7%

Draw
29.5%

Ceará
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

29.6%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

29.5%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Botafogo SP - Ceará Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 16th and 15th).

Botafogo SP is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Ceará have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Botafogo SP may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Botafogo SP has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

Recently, Ceará has had a run of games away from home.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo SP has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:13 (averaging 1:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Botafogo SP against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 3:6 goals (averaging 1.5:3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Ceara	31	10	9	12	34:39	-5	39
16	Botafogo SP	32	10	8	14	36:38	-2	38

Last Results with these Odds

Ceará - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.12%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
07.10.26	Operário Ferroviario - Botafogo SP	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Botafogo SP - Vila Nova	0:1 ✺
29.09.26	Botafogo SP - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Athletic Club - Botafogo SP	1:1 ✺
14.09.26	Botafogo SP - Goiás	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWTL
- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie B
03.10.26	Avaí - Ceará	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Operário Ferroviario - Ceará	2:2 ✺
18.09.26	Ceará - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Fortaleza - Ceará	1:1 ✺
09.09.26	Atlético Goianiense - Ceará	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
20.06.26	Ceará - Botafogo SP	0:1
12.11.24	Botafogo SP - Ceará	1:4
25.07.24	Ceará - Botafogo SP	4:1
04.11.23	Botafogo SP - Ceará	2:2
07.07.23	Ceará - Botafogo SP	3:0

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