The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Botafogo SP 27.5%
Draw 29.4%
Grêmio Novorizontino 43%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.2%
29.5%
37.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
29.7%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo SP's form might have worsened.
Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grêmio Novorizontino's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo SP, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grêmio Novorizontino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
50%
50%
Botafogo SP - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.25 - Botafogo SP (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo SP (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Victor Souza (G) 22. Gabriel Inocencio 3. Ericson (C) 4. Vilar 26. Felipe Vieira 5. Leandro Maciel 30. Ze Hugo 8. Everton Morelli 10. Rafael Gava 7. Kelvin 9. Hygor
93. Jordi (G) 2. Madson 26. Gabriel Bahia 4. Patrick 66. Maykon Jesus 6. Luis Oyama 18. Leo Naldi 41. Reidiney 10. Romulo 30. Nicolas Careca 11. Robson (C)
Substitutes
18. Arthur Caike 17. Guilherme Queiroz 21. Jadson 2. Jonathan 12. Jordan (G) 28. Marco Antonio 16. Matheus Sales 31. Pedro Henrique 29. Thiago Moraes 13. Wallace 23. Wesley Santos 20. Yuri Felipe
9. Carlao 3. Carlinhos 31. Cesar Augusto (G) 19. Diego Galo 14. Eduardo Brock 77. Helio Borges 22. Ivan Alvarino 50. Juninho 28. Marlon 17. Matheus Bianqui 7. Ronald Barcellos 15. Tavinho
Coaches
Claudio Tencati
Moreira E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', Felipe Vieira 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Romulo (Penalty Awarded),
30', 1 - 1, Felipe Vieira ⚽, Kelvin (A),
33', Maykon Jesus 🟨,
45', Leandro Maciel 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', Gabriel Inocencio 🟨,
47', Nicolas Careca 🟨,
56', 1 - 2, Robson ⚽, Leo Naldi (A),
62', Nicolas Careca ↓, Juninho ↑,
62', Leo Naldi ↓, Matheus Bianqui ↑,
67', Leandro Maciel ↓, Arthur Caike ↑,
67', Ze Hugo ↓, Wesley Santos ↑,
73', 1 - 3, Matheus Bianqui ⚽, Madson (A),
77', Everton Morelli ↓, Jadson ↑,
78', Felipe Vieira ↓, Jonathan ↑,
78', Kelvin ↓, Matheus Sales ↑,
84', Gabriel Bahia ↓, Carlinhos ↑,
84', Reidiney ↓, Diego Galo ↑,
87', Robson ↓, Carlao ↑,
90+5', Rafael Gava 🟨,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 0.
Botafogo SP is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Novorizontino is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Botafogo SP: Carlao
(Knee Injury)
Erik Rebello
(Injury)
Guilherme Mariano
(Muscle Injury)
Patrick Brey
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Novorizontino: Ortiz C.
(Injury)
Renato Palm
(Injury)
Tavares Miguel
(Injury)
There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Darlan
(Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo SP won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).