Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA - ROUND 10

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Santa Cruz (Ribeirao Preto)

Referee: Dias Araujo V. G. (Bra)


	Botafogo SP		Portuguesa

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.7
	2.05	3.3	3.6	Watch
	2.06	3.15	3.75
	2.08	3.19	3.97
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	1.98	3.22	3.8
	1.99	3.15	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.98)	3.2 ↑ (3.04)	3.68 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
45.9%

Draw
29%

Portuguesa
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

29.7%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.8%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Portuguesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Botafogo SP - Portuguesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Michael Fracaro (G) 2. Wallison 3. Matheus Costa 4. Bernardo Schappo 7. Emerson Negueba 10. Maciel L. 5. Lucas Dias 6. Jean Victor 8. Matheus Barbosa 11. Douglas Baggio 9. Alex Sandro	1. Thomazella (G) 3. Quintana Y. 4. Robson 5. Patrick 2. Douglas Borel 8. Eduardo 7. Taua Antunes 10. Giovanni Augusto 6. Eduardo Diniz 9. Luccas Paraizo 11. Felipe Marques
Substitutes
21. Arthur Mosca 15. Carlos Manuel 13. Ericson 18. Fillipe Soutto 23. Joao Maranini 19. Jonas Toro 12. Klippel B. (G) 16. Patrick Brey 17. Pedro Rodrigues 22. Thalles E. 14. Thassio 20. Tiago Alves	14. da Silva Ferreira P. H. 22. Gusmao Rocha Marques E. (G) 13. Gustavo Talles 19. Henrique Dourado 23. Leandro P. B. 21. Maceio 15. Marco Antonio 20. Renan Gorne 16. Ricardinho 12. Ronaldo (G) 18. Rone 17. Victor Andrade
Coaches
Gomes P.	Pintado

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP won 4.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Portuguesa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Botafogo SP is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo SP won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Copa do Brasil
20.02.24	Nova Venécia - Botafogo SP	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
17.02.24	Mirassol - Botafogo SP	2:1 ✺
14.02.24	Botafogo SP - Corinthians	1:4 ✺
11.02.24	Internacional de Limeira - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
07.02.24	Botafogo SP - Ponte Preta	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL
- Portuguesa SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
18.02.24	Portuguesa - Guarani	1:0 ✺
15.02.24	Portuguesa - Água Santa	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Corinthians - Portuguesa	2:0 ✺
07.02.24	São Bernardo - Portuguesa	1:0 ✺
31.01.24	Portuguesa - Ponte Preta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
14.01.23	Portuguesa - Botafogo SP	0:2
Brazilian Copa Paulista
03.11.21	Botafogo SP - Portuguesa	3:1
31.10.21	Portuguesa - Botafogo SP	2:1
Brazilian Serie C
15.08.16	Botafogo SP - Portuguesa	2:1
12.06.16	Portuguesa - Botafogo SP	0:5
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
29.01.14	Portuguesa - Botafogo SP	1:2

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