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Bournemouth - Liverpool: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Premier League - Round 5
  • Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday
  • Location: Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth)
  • Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Bournemouth Liverpool
    Bournemouth Liverpool
    1 X 2
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    (Initially)    		 3.2 ↑
    (3.13)    		 3.69 ↓
    (3.87)    		 2.18 ↑
    (2.07)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

    • The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Bournemouth
    30%    		Draw
    26%    		Liverpool
    44%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    30.1% 24.4% 45.5%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    29.2% 23.7% 46.9%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    7% 4.7% 88.4%

    Bournemouth - Liverpool Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Liverpool (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Liverpool (3.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Bournemouth (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • New Consensus by Tipsters:
    • BTTS - yes (1.50) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.
  • Users Predictions: Liverpool will win (38 of 43 users predict this - 88.37%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.79% – 97.95%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liverpool will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Bournemouth (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Liverpool (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. SerbiaPetrovic D. (G)
    15. EnglandSmith A. (C)
      5. EnglandHill J.
    14. PortugalSilva A.
      3. FranceTruffert A.
    12. USAAdams T.
      8. EnglandScott A.
    37. BrazilRayan
    10. ScotlandChristie R.
    16. EnglandTavernier M.
      9. BrazilEvanilson
    		  1. BrazilAlisson (G)
    33. UruguayAraujo R.
      5. FranceJacquet J.
      4. Netherlandsvan Dijk V. (C)
      6. HungaryKerkez M.
      8. HungarySzoboszlai D.
    10. ArgentinaMac Allister A.
    18. NetherlandsGakpo C.
      7. GermanyWirtz F.
    29. FranceBarcola B.
      9. SwedenIsak A.
    Substitutes
      7. WalesBrooks D.
      4. EnglandCook L.
    18. FranceDiakite B.
    20. ItalyDi Gregorio M. (G)
    11. ScotlandGannon-Doak B.
    29. CanadaJebbison D.
    24. SpainSanchez J.
      6. ArgentinaSoler J.
    27. HungaryToth A.
    		30. NetherlandsFrimpong J.
      2. EnglandGomez J.
    38. NetherlandsGravenberch R.
    67. WalesKoumas L.
    25. GeorgiaMamardashvili G. (G)
    23. SpainMunoz V.
    73. EnglandNgumoha R.
    42. EnglandNyoni T.
    21. GreeceTsimikas K.
    Coaches
         GermanyRose M.
    		     SpainIraola A.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
    • 47', Szoboszlai D. 🟨,
    • 57', 0 - 1, Isak A. ⚽,
    • 61', Isak A. 🟨,
    • 71', Wirtz F. ↓, Nyoni T. ↑,
    • 72', Barcola B. ↓, Munoz V. ↑,
    • 75', Christie R. ↓, Jebbison D. ↑,
    • 75', Smith A. ↓, Cook L. ↑,
    • 75', Tavernier M. ↓, Brooks D. ↑,
    • 81', Isak A. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
    • 81', Szoboszlai D. ↓, Gravenberch R. ↑,
    • 81', Silva A. 🟨,
    • 88', Adams T. ↓, Gannon-Doak B. ↑,
    • 89', Rayan ↓, Toth A. ↑,

    Preview

  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth won 1.
  • Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.
  • Liverpool could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
  • Recently, Liverpool has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
  • Liverpool is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
  • Confirmed absences for Bournemouth: Adli A. (Calf Injury) Araujo J. (Thigh Injury) Kroupi E. J. (Foot Injury).
  • Confirmed absences for Liverpool: Bradley C. (Knee Injury) Chiesa F. (Back Injury) Ekitike H. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Leoni G. (Knee Injury).
  • Doubtful / questionable for Bournemouth: Milosavljevic V. (Injury).
  • Doubtful / questionable for Liverpool: Mabaya I. (Injury).
  • In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Bournemouth has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:57 (averaging 0.8:2.9 goals per game).
  • Specifically in home fixtures for Bournemouth against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 10:26 goals (averaging 1:2.6 per game).

    • Outrights of English Premier League for now
    Liverpool: 7.96% Bournemouth: 0.37%

    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    6Liverpool52307:439
    17Bournemouth50326:8-23

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - AFC Bournemouth
    UEFA Europa League
    17.09.26 Real Sociedad - Bournemouth 1:2 ✺
    English Premier League
    12.09.26 Bournemouth - Brentford 2:2 ✺
    English League Cup
    08.09.26 Bournemouth - Lincoln City 4:0 ✺
    English Premier League
    05.09.26 Newcastle United - Bournemouth 2:2 ✺
    29.08.26 Bournemouth - Everton 1:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8
    WTWTT
    - Liverpool FC
    English League Cup
    15.09.26 Liverpool - Tottenham Hotspur 3:1 ✺
    English Premier League
    12.09.26 Liverpool - Fulham 0:0 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    09.09.26 Liverpool - Atlético Madrid 2:1 ✺
    English Premier League
    04.09.26 Ipswich Town - Liverpool 0:2 ✺
    29.08.26 Liverpool - Nottingham Forest 2:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1
    WTWWT
    Latest Head to Head
    English Premier League
    24.01.26 Bournemouth - Liverpool 3:2
    15.08.25 Liverpool - Bournemouth 4:2
    01.02.25 Bournemouth - Liverpool 0:2
    21.09.24 Liverpool - Bournemouth 3:0
    21.01.24 Bournemouth - Liverpool 0:4
    English League Cup
    01.11.23 Bournemouth - Liverpool 1:2
    English Premier League
    19.08.23 Liverpool - Bournemouth 3:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - AFC Bournemouth
    UEFA Europa League
    15.10.26 Bournemouth - Sturm Graz ✺
    English Premier League
    10.10.26 Chelsea - Bournemouth ✺
    - Liverpool FC
    UEFA Champions League
    14.10.26 LASK Linz - Liverpool ✺
    English Premier League
    11.10.26 Liverpool - Manchester City ✺

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