Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Anoeta (San Sebastian) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 4
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, Q Arena Asia
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3, Sky Sport Mix
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5, VOOsport World 1
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN 7
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Colombia	14:00	ESPN 7
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN 7
Estonia	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 8
Georgia	23:00	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	21:00	RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport Mix, WOW
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	19:00	SÝN Sport
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport MIX
Japan	04:00	Wowow Live
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	ART Sport 3
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Lithuania	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	21:00	TSN Malta 7
Mexico	13:00	Claro Sports, Disney+
Mongolia	03:00	Premier Sports 2
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	07:00	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
Nigeria	20:00	SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	Flow Sports 2 Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport 3
Paraguay	15:00	ESPN 7
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 7
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	20:00	DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	03:00	beIN Sports 3
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 5
South Africa	21:00	Supersport Maximo 1
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sky Sport Mix
Taiwan	03:00	ELTA Sports 2
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	22:00	Tabii Spor 3
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	HBO Max, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 6
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	CBS Sports Network, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 7, Inter


	Real Sociedad		Bournemouth

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.5	2.3
	2.80	3.60	2.35
	2.98	3.55	2.35
	3.06	3.6	2.36
	2.99	3.67	2.36	Watch
	2.95	3.5	2.3
	3.04	3.58	2.36
	2.9	3.6	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.75)	3.58 ↑ (3.54)	2.34 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
32.4%

Draw
26.7%

Bournemouth
40.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.5%

26.8%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

26.3%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	35.7%	35.7%

Real Sociedad - Bournemouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 12 - 29.3%). Bournemouth will win (votes: 15 - 36.6%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 34.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bournemouth: 21.9% – 51.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Real Sociedad (2.16) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.54) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.70) (votes: 91%) ⭐ Best Value.

BTTS - yes (1.53) (votes: 90%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Marrero U. (G) 34. Beitia L. 6. Martin J. 19. Sarr M. 17. Gomez S. 22. Fort H. 8. Turrientes B. 21. Herrera Y. 7. Barrenetxea A. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C) 9. Oskarsson O.	1. Petrovic D. (G) 15. Smith A. (C) 5. Hill J. 14. Silva A. 3. Truffert A. 37. Rayan 8. Scott A. 12. Adams T. 16. Tavernier M. 9. Evanilson 19. Kluivert J.
Substitutes
4. Gorrotxategi J. 11. Guedes G. 14. Kubo T. 29. Marchal A. 15. Marin P. 3. Munoz A. 12. Ochieng J. 16. Pacheco J. 1. Remiro A. (G) 18. Soler C. 24. Sucic L. 23. Zakharyan A.	55. Allan M. (G) 7. Brooks D. 10. Christie R. 4. Cook L. 18. Diakite B. 20. Di Gregorio M. (G) 11. Gannon-Doak B. 30. Rodriguez A. 6. Soler J. 27. Toth A.
Coaches
Matarazzo P.	Rose M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Kluivert J. ⚽, Truffert A. (A),
20', 0 - 2, Rayan ⚽, Scott A. (A),
24', Turrientes B. 🟨,
33', Barrenetxea A. 🟨,
43', Kluivert J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fort H. ↓, Guedes G. ↑,
52', Truffert A. 🟨,
58', 1 - 2, Gomez S. ⚽, Beitia L. (A),
59', Turrientes B. ↓, Gorrotxategi J. ↑,
63', Smith A. ↓, Diakite B. ↑,
63', Adams T. ↓, Christie R. ↑,
70', Diakite B. 🟨,
72', Rayan ↓, Gannon-Doak B. ↑,
72', Evanilson ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
74', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Sucic L. ↑,
75', Oskarsson O. 🟨,
84', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Kubo T. ↑,
84', Herrera Y. ↓, Zakharyan A. ↑,
84', Kluivert J. ↓, Brooks D. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Aramburu J. (Red Card) Odriozola A. (Knee Injury) Zubeldia I. (Injury)

There will not play in Bournemouth: Aarons M. (Off the roster) Adli A. (Calf Injury) Araujo J. (Thigh Injury) Forster F. (Off the roster) Gannon-Doak B. (Off the roster) Jebbison D. (Off the roster) Kroupi E. J. (Foot Injury) Milosavljevic V. (Injury) Sanchez J. (Off the roster)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Bournemouth	3	3	0	0	8:1	7	9
14	Real Sociedad	3	1	1	1	8:3	5	4

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Bournemouth: 10.72% Real Sociedad: 3.92%

Last Results with these Odds

Real Sociedad - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 34.55%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
13.09.26	Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid	0:3 ✺
07.09.26	Elche - Real Sociedad	2:3 ✺
03.09.26	Real Sociedad - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Real Sociedad - Espanyol	2:1 ✺
26.08.26	Real Madrid - Real Sociedad	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWTWL
- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
12.09.26	Bournemouth - Brentford	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.09.26	Bournemouth - Lincoln City	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
05.09.26	Newcastle United - Bournemouth	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Bournemouth - Everton	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Manchester City - Bournemouth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.08.25	Bournemouth - Real Sociedad	0:0
09.08.25	Bournemouth - Real Sociedad	1:1
30.07.22	Bournemouth - Real Sociedad	1:2

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