Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Anoeta (San Sebastian)

Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, Q Arena Asia
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3, Sky Sport Mix
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5, VOOsport World 1
Bolivia	ESPN 7
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Colombia	ESPN 7
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	ESPN 7
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 8
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport Mix, WOW
Hong-kong	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	SÝN Sport
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport MIX
Japan	Wowow Live
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Claro Sports, Disney+
Mongolia	Premier Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
Nigeria	SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	Flow Sports 2 Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 3
Paraguay	ESPN 7
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 7
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sky Sport Mix
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Tabii Spor 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	HBO Max, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 6
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 7, Inter


	Real Sociedad		Bournemouth

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.5	2.3
	2.80	3.60	2.35
	2.98	3.55	2.35
	3.06	3.6	2.36
	2.99	3.67	2.36	Watch
	2.95	3.5	2.3
	3.04	3.58	2.36
	2.9	3.6	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.75)	3.58 ↑ (3.54)	2.34 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
32.4%

Draw
26.7%

Bournemouth
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

26.8%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

26.3%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	35.7%	35.7%

Real Sociedad - Bournemouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 12 - 29.3%). Bournemouth will win (votes: 15 - 36.6%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 34.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bournemouth: 21.9% – 51.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Real Sociedad (2.16) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.54) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.70) (votes: 91%) ⭐ Best Value.

BTTS - yes (1.53) (votes: 90%) ⭐ Best Value.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Marrero U. (G) 34. Beitia L. 6. Martin J. 19. Sarr M. 17. Gomez S. 22. Fort H. 8. Turrientes B. 21. Herrera Y. 7. Barrenetxea A. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C) 9. Oskarsson O.	1. Petrovic D. (G) 15. Smith A. (C) 5. Hill J. 14. Silva A. 3. Truffert A. 37. Rayan 8. Scott A. 12. Adams T. 16. Tavernier M. 9. Evanilson 19. Kluivert J.
Substitutes
4. Gorrotxategi J. 11. Guedes G. 14. Kubo T. 29. Marchal A. 15. Marin P. 3. Munoz A. 12. Ochieng J. 16. Pacheco J. 1. Remiro A. (G) 18. Soler C. 24. Sucic L. 23. Zakharyan A.	55. Allan M. (G) 7. Brooks D. 10. Christie R. 4. Cook L. 18. Diakite B. 20. Di Gregorio M. (G) 11. Gannon-Doak B. 30. Rodriguez A. 6. Soler J. 27. Toth A.
Coaches
Matarazzo P.	Rose M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Kluivert J. ⚽, Truffert A. (A),
20', 0 - 2, Rayan ⚽, Scott A. (A),
24', Turrientes B. 🟨,
33', Barrenetxea A. 🟨,
43', Kluivert J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fort H. ↓, Guedes G. ↑,
52', Truffert A. 🟨,
58', 1 - 2, Gomez S. ⚽, Beitia L. (A),
59', Turrientes B. ↓, Gorrotxategi J. ↑,
63', Smith A. ↓, Diakite B. ↑,
63', Adams T. ↓, Christie R. ↑,
70', Diakite B. 🟨,
72', Rayan ↓, Gannon-Doak B. ↑,
72', Evanilson ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
74', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Sucic L. ↑,
75', Oskarsson O. 🟨,
84', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Kubo T. ↑,
84', Herrera Y. ↓, Zakharyan A. ↑,
84', Kluivert J. ↓, Brooks D. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Aramburu J. (Red Card) Odriozola A. (Knee Injury) Zubeldia I. (Injury)

There will not play in Bournemouth: Aarons M. (Off the roster) Adli A. (Calf Injury) Araujo J. (Thigh Injury) Forster F. (Off the roster) Gannon-Doak B. (Off the roster) Jebbison D. (Off the roster) Kroupi E. J. (Foot Injury) Milosavljevic V. (Injury) Sanchez J. (Off the roster)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Bournemouth: 8.68% Real Sociedad: 4.6%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
22	Real Sociedad	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0

Last Results with these Odds

Real Sociedad - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 34.55%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
13.09.26	Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid	0:3 ✺
07.09.26	Elche - Real Sociedad	2:3 ✺
03.09.26	Real Sociedad - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Real Sociedad - Espanyol	2:1 ✺
26.08.26	Real Madrid - Real Sociedad	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWTWL
- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
12.09.26	Bournemouth - Brentford	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.09.26	Bournemouth - Lincoln City	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
05.09.26	Newcastle United - Bournemouth	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Bournemouth - Everton	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Manchester City - Bournemouth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.08.25	Bournemouth - Real Sociedad	0:0
09.08.25	Bournemouth - Real Sociedad	1:1
30.07.22	Bournemouth - Real Sociedad	1:2

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