Match Info

Date: 15 April 2022, Friday


	Bournemouth		Middlesbrough

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	4.2	Watch
	1.88	3.4	4.2
	1.93	3.55	4.15
	1.84	3.45	4.2
	1.9	3.63	4.39
	1.88	3.3	4.2	Watch
	1.9	3.55	4.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.01)	3.5 ↑ (3.1)	4.24 ↑ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bournemouth
50.4%

Draw
27.2%

Middlesbrough
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

30.1%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

30.2%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Bournemouth - Middlesbrough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 8).

Bournemouth has the most likely position - 2 (79.81%), has project points - 84, has currently - 73, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (17%), has a good chance of promoted (88%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Middlesbrough has the most likely position - 7 (17.85%), has project points - 71, has currently - 62, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (40%), has a small chance of promoted (12%), has not chance of win league.

This event has quality 53, importance 52, match rating 52. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bournemouth won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Bournemouth will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Bournemouth won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Bournemouth won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Bournemouth
English League Championship
09.04.22	Sheffield United - Bournemouth	0:0 ✺
06.04.22	West Bromwich Albion - Bournemouth	2:0 ✺
02.04.22	Bournemouth - Bristol City	3:2 ✺
19.03.22	Huddersfield Town - Bournemouth	0:3 ✺
15.03.22	Bournemouth - Reading	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLWWT
- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
09.04.22	Middlesbrough - Hull City	0:1 ✺
06.04.22	Middlesbrough - Fulham	0:1 ✺
02.04.22	Peterborough United - Middlesbrough	0:4 ✺
English FA Cup
19.03.22	Middlesbrough - Chelsea	0:2 ✺
English League Championship
15.03.22	Birmingham City - Middlesbrough	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
18.12.21	Middlesbrough - Bournemouth	1:0
02.04.21	Bournemouth - Middlesbrough	3:1
19.09.20	Middlesbrough - Bournemouth	1:1
English League Cup
24.10.17	Bournemouth - Middlesbrough	3:1
English Premier League
22.04.17	Bournemouth - Middlesbrough	4:0
29.10.16	Middlesbrough - Bournemouth	2:0
English League Championship
21.03.15	Bournemouth - Middlesbrough	3:0

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