Match Info

Championship - Round 24

Date: 29 December 2025, Monday

Location: Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough)

Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Middlesbrough		Hull City

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.2	4.75	Watch
	1.64	4.14	4.92	Watch
	1.66	4.19	4.76	Watch
	1.65	3.9	4.6
	1.64	4.05	4.79	Watch
	1.63	4.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.71)	4.11 ↑ (3.7)	4.8 ↑ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Middlesbrough
57.6%

Draw
22.8%

Hull City
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

25.3%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

24.4%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Hull City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.5%	7.5%	15%

Middlesbrough - Hull City Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 31 - 77.5%). Hull will win (votes: 6 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 64.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +1 - Hull (1.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Middlesbrough (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Middlesbrough will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Hull (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Brynn S. (G) 2. Brittain C. 12. Ayling L. 3. Targett M. 24. Bangura A. 14. Gilbert A. 16. Browne A. 11. Whittaker M. 7. Hackney H. (C) 20. Sene M. K. 9. Conway T.	1. Pandur I. (G) 4. Hughes C. 15. Egan J. 23. Famewo A. 2. Coyle L. (C) 24. Gyabi D. 25. Crooks M. 27. Slater R. 3. Giles R. 22. Joseph K. 19. Ndala J.
Substitutes
10. Burgzorg D. 17. Hamilton M. 27. Hansen S. 42. Kante A. 40. McCormick G. 33. McLaughlin J. (G) 18. Morris A. 19. Nypan S. 22. Silvera S.	11. Akintola B. 43. Ashbee S. 39. Destan E. 20. Hadziahmetovic A. 9. McBurnie O. 58. McCarthy C. 7. Millar L. 45. Palmer K. 12. Phillips D. (G)
Coaches
Hellberg K.	Jakirovic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Giles R. ↓, McCarthy C. ↑,
12', 0 - 1, Gyabi D. ⚽, Joseph K. (A),
15', McCarthy C. 🟨,
30', Akintola B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Egan J. 🟨,
59', Browne A. ↓, Morris A. ↑,
59', Gilbert A. ↓, Hansen S. ↑,
59', Sene M. K. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
64', Joseph K. 🟨,
68', Famewo A. ↓, Millar L. ↑,
68', Ndala J. ↓, Hadziahmetovic A. ↑,
75', Joseph K. ↓, McBurnie O. ↑,
76', Coyle L. ↓, Palmer K. ↑,
78', Hansen S. 🟨,
85', Conway T. ↓, Nypan S. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 3.

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, Middlesbrough is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Middlesbrough: Kante A. (Groin Injury) Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) McGree R. (Injury)

There will not play in Hull: Ajayi S. (International duty) Gelhardt J. (Calf Injury) Matazo E. (Knee Injury) Williams B. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Morris A. (Leg Injury) Targett M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Hull: Belloumi M. (Injury) Lundstram J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 32:27. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Middlesbrough won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
26.12.25	Middlesbrough - Blackburn Rovers	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Bristol City - Middlesbrough	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Middlesbrough - Queens Park Rangers	3:1 ✺
09.12.25	Charlton Athletic - Middlesbrough	1:2 ✺
05.12.25	Hull City - Middlesbrough	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLWWW
- Hull City
English League Championship
26.12.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Hull City	2:2 ✺
20.12.25	Hull City - West Bromwich Albion	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Millwall - Hull City	1:3 ✺
10.12.25	Hull City - Wrexham	2:0 ✺
05.12.25	Hull City - Middlesbrough	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
05.12.25	Hull City - Middlesbrough	1:4
01.01.25	Hull City - Middlesbrough	0:1
30.11.24	Middlesbrough - Hull City	3:1
10.04.24	Hull City - Middlesbrough	2:2
13.12.23	Middlesbrough - Hull City	1:2
19.04.23	Middlesbrough - Hull City	3:1
01.11.22	Hull City - Middlesbrough	1:3

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