Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL CUP - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 9 January 2024, Tuesday

Location: Riverside Stadium (Middlesbrough)

Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Brazil	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
France	beIN Sports
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV3
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	Sky Sports


	Middlesbrough		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.33	1.5	Watch
	6	4.4	1.51
	6.5	4.5	1.52	Watch
	6.53	4.45	1.53
	6.53	4.39	1.54
	5.5	4.2	1.44
	6.05	4.5	1.53	Watch
	6.2	4.5	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.23 ↑ (5.59)	4.41 ↑ (4.32)	1.51 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Middlesbrough
15.3%

Draw
21.6%

Chelsea
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.9%

21.9%

61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

21.5%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.6%	14.6%	70.8%

Middlesbrough - Chelsea Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 7 - 14.6%). Chelsea will win (votes: 34 - 70.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 14.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 57.9% – 83.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Glover T. (G) 3. van den Berg R. 6. Fry D. 27. Engel L. 24. Bangura A. 4. Barlaser D. 7. Hackney H. 11. Jones I. 16. Howson J. (C) 25. Crooks M. 9. Latte Lath E.	28. Petrovic D. (G) 27. Gusto M. 2. Disasi A. 6. Silva T. 26. Colwill L. 8. Fernandez E. 25. Caicedo M. 23. Gallagher C. (C) 20. Palmer C. 11. Madueke N. 7. Sterling R.
Substitutes
57. Bilongo B. 52. Bridge A. 5. Clarke M. 19. Coburn J. 14. Gilbert A. 32. Jones J. (G) 48. Kavanagh C. 49. McCabe L. 28. O'Brien L.	47. Bergstrom L. (G) 13. Bettinelli M. (G) 19. Broja A. 36. Deivid Washington 42. Gilchrist A. 68. Golding M. 10. Mudryk M. 51. Williams D.
Coaches
Carrick M.	Pochettino M.

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Middlesbrough is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chelsea is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Middlesbrough could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chelsea is a favorite.

There will not play in Middlesbrough: Crooks M. (Muscle Injury) Dieng S. (Hip Injury) Forss M. (Thigh Injury) Hackney H. (Groin Injury) Latte Lath E. (Muscle Injury) Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) McNair P. (Back Injury) O'Brien L. (Ankle Injury) Smith T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Chelsea: Chalobah T. (Thigh Injury) Chilwell B. (Thigh Injury) Chukwuemeka C. (Knee Injury) Cucurella M. (Ankle Injury) Fofana W. (Knee Injury) James R. (Thigh Injury) Lavia R. (Injury) Nkunku C. (Hip Injury) Sanchez R. (Knee Injury) Ugochukwu L. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Chelsea: Badiashile B. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 0-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Middlesbrough won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Middlesbrough FC
English FA Cup
06.01.24	Middlesbrough - Aston Villa	0:1 ✺
English League Championship
01.01.24	Middlesbrough - Coventry City	1:3 ✺
29.12.23	Huddersfield Town - Middlesbrough	1:2 ✺
26.12.23	Rotherham United - Middlesbrough	1:0 ✺
23.12.23	Middlesbrough - West Bromwich Albion	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLW
- Chelsea
English FA Cup
06.01.24	Chelsea - Preston North End	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
30.12.23	Luton Town - Chelsea	2:3 ✺
27.12.23	Chelsea - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
24.12.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
19.12.23	Chelsea - Newcastle United	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
19.03.22	Middlesbrough - Chelsea	0:2
English Premier League
08.05.17	Chelsea - Middlesbrough	3:0
20.11.16	Middlesbrough - Chelsea	0:1
English FA Cup
27.02.13	Middlesbrough - Chelsea	0:2

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