Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday

Location: Stadio Attilio Bravi (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Bra		Carpi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.92	3.15	2.32
	2.94	3.2	2.4
	15.27	4.38	1.28	Watch
	2.95	3.1	2.29	Watch
	3.33	3.1	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.48 ↑ (3.2)	3.39 ↑ (3.1)	2.09 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bra
19.1%

Draw
30.9%

Carpi
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

29.6%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

28.5%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bra's form might have worsened.

Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carpi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bra than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carpi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bra - Carpi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Renzetti D. (G) 4. Cannistra P. 31. De Santis E. 6. Sganzerla R. 10. Pautassi M. 77. Brambilla A. 8. Tuzza S. (C) 9. Di Biase G. 55. Nesci A. 92. Baldini E. 21. Minaj E.	1. Sorzi M. (G) 4. Zagnoni D. 19. Rossini M. 6. Panelli T. 2. Verza N. 5. Figoli M. 29. Rosetti M. 7. Cecotti T. 72. Cortesi M. 11. Casarini F. 23. Sall A.
Substitutes
80. Chiabotto V. . Chianese A. 5. Chiesa D. 25. Corsi L. 72. Cucciniello F. P. 28. Dimatteo S. 1. Franzini D. (G) 42. La Marca M. 14. Lionetti G. 29. Maressa T. 12. Menicucci D. (G) 20. Morleo U. 36. Rabuffi M. 3. Rottensteiner B.	70. Arcopinto A. 20. Forte R. 17. Lombardi L. 18. Mahrani Y. 90. Perta A. A. (G) 80. Pietra N. 33. Pitti E. 3. Rigo M. 22. Scacchetti A. (G) 10. Stanzani L. 16. Tcheuna R. 26. Toure M. 77. Visani R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Panelli T. ⚽,
33', Di Biase G. 🟨,
41', 0 - 2, Cortesi M. ⚽,
43', Figoli M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 2, Minaj E. ⚽,
56', Panelli T. 🟨,
62', Cortesi M. 🟨,
64', Verza N. ↓, Rigo M. ↑,
64', Panelli T. ↓, Lombardi L. ↑,
69', Brambilla A. ↓, La Marca M. ↑,
71', 1 - 3, Lombardi L. ⚽,
74', Cortesi M. ↓, Arcopinto A. ↑,
74', Figoli M. ↓, Pietra N. ↑,
75', Di Biase G. ↓, Dimatteo S. ↑,
83', Nesci A. ↓, Cucciniello F. P. ↑,
85', Sall A. ↓, Stanzani L. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Bra is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Carpi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Carpi might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Bra
Italian Serie C Group B
04.10.25	Ascoli - Bra	4:1 ✺
27.09.25	Bra - Guidonia Montecelio	2:1 ✺
23.09.25	Bra - Livorno	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Gubbio - Bra	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Bra - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLLT
- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
05.10.25	Carpi - Perugia	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Arezzo - Carpi	3:1 ✺
23.09.25	Carpi - Ravenna	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Sambenedettese - Carpi	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Ternana - Carpi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLLWL

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