Match Info

National League - Round 38

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: The Lamb Ground (Tamworth)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Tamworth		Carlisle United

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.05
	3.2	3.5	2.08
	3.25	3.55	2.17
	3.31	3.43	2.1	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.1
	3.2	3.51	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↓ (3.83)	3.45 ↓ (3.56)	2.1 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamworth
29%

Draw
26.9%

Carlisle United
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

25.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

25.4%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlisle United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tamworth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlisle United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tamworth - Carlisle United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Singh J. (G) 12. Rye J. 18. Cullinane-Liburd J. 5. Digie K. 11. Fairlamb L. 14. Mols S. 6. Bates A. 8. Milnes B. (C) 24. Acquaye B. 39. Creaney D. 27. Lynch O.	1. Breeze G. (G) 31. Atkinson H. 26. Mugabi B. 5. Feeney M. (C) 12. Galvin R. 16. Wearne S. 20. Gilliead A. 38. Conn-Clarke C. 37. Macadam H. 10. Linney R. 29. Armstrong L.
Substitutes
3. Cockerill-Mollett C. 2. Curley M. 26. Hollis H. 42. Kurtaran T. 19. McGlinchey T. 44. Reindorf M. 4. Tonks T.	7. Ajiboye D. 18. Ellis J. 3. Harper C. 13. Mair A. (G) 30. Parker H. 4. Thomas T. 8. Whelan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Bates A. ↓, Kurtaran T. ↑,
46', Conn-Clarke C. ↓, Ajiboye D. ↑,
52', 0 - 1, Wearne S. ⚽, Ajiboye D. (A),
64', 1 - 1, Lynch O. ⚽, Creaney D. (A),
75', Acquaye B. 🟨,
76', 2 - 1, Lynch O. ⚽,
77', Rye J. ↓, Curley M. ↑,
78', Acquaye B. ↓, Reindorf M. ↑,
80', Gilliead A. ↓, Parker H. ↑,
84', Atkinson H. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
90+2', Milnes B. ↓, Tonks T. ↑,
90+2', Mugabi B. ↓, Thomas T. ↑,
90+3', Milnes B. ↓, Tonks T. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In recent matches, Tamworth has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Carlisle is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tamworth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Carlisle is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tamworth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Carlisle	13	4	5	4	23:20	3	17
18	Tamworth	13	4	2	7	21:30	-9	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamworth
English National League
10.03.26	Wealdstone - Tamworth	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Woking - Tamworth	3:1 ✺
03.03.26	Yeovil Town - Tamworth	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Tamworth - Boreham Wood	3:2 ✺
24.02.26	Tamworth - Altrincham	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLLWW
- Carlisle United
English National League
10.03.26	Aldershot Town - Carlisle United	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Carlisle United - Southend United	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Eastleigh - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Hartlepool United - Carlisle United	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Carlisle United - Yeovil Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
29.11.25	Carlisle United - Tamworth	2:1

Tamworth - Carlisle United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide