Match Info

National League - Round 38

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: The Lamb Ground (Tamworth) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	12:00	DAZN
Australia	02:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Belarus	18:00	DAZN
Bolivia	11:00	DAZN
Brazil	12:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	11:00	DAZN Canada
Colombia	10:00	DAZN
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	10:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hong Kong	23:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
India	20:30	DAZN
Indonesia	22:00	DAZN
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	00:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	21:00	DAZN
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
Malaysia	23:00	DAZN
Mexico	09:00	DAZN
New Zealand	04:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	16:00	DAZN
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Norway	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	12:00	DAZN
Philippines	23:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Russia	18:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
South Africa	17:00	DAZN
South Korea	00:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	23:00	DAZN
Thailand	22:00	DAZN
Ukraine	17:00	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	19:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	15:00	DAZN
Uruguay	12:00	DAZN
Usa	11:00	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	20:00	DAZN
Venezuela	11:00	DAZN
Vietnam	22:00	DAZN


	Tamworth		Carlisle United

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.05
	3.2	3.5	2.08
	3.25	3.55	2.17
	3.31	3.43	2.1	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.1
	3.2	3.51	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↓ (3.83)	3.45 ↓ (3.56)	2.1 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamworth
29%

Draw
26.9%

Carlisle United
44.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24%

25.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

25.4%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carlisle United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tamworth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carlisle United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tamworth - Carlisle United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Singh J. (G) 12. Rye J. 18. Cullinane-Liburd J. 5. Digie K. 11. Fairlamb L. 14. Mols S. 6. Bates A. 8. Milnes B. (C) 24. Acquaye B. 39. Creaney D. 27. Lynch O.	1. Breeze G. (G) 31. Atkinson H. 26. Mugabi B. 5. Feeney M. (C) 12. Galvin R. 16. Wearne S. 20. Gilliead A. 38. Conn-Clarke C. 37. Macadam H. 10. Linney R. 29. Armstrong L.
Substitutes
3. Cockerill-Mollett C. 2. Curley M. 26. Hollis H. 42. Kurtaran T. 19. McGlinchey T. 44. Reindorf M. 4. Tonks T.	7. Ajiboye D. 18. Ellis J. 3. Harper C. 13. Mair A. (G) 30. Parker H. 4. Thomas T. 8. Whelan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Bates A. ↓, Kurtaran T. ↑,
46', Conn-Clarke C. ↓, Ajiboye D. ↑,
52', 0 - 1, Wearne S. ⚽, Ajiboye D. (A),
64', 1 - 1, Lynch O. ⚽, Creaney D. (A),
75', Acquaye B. 🟨,
76', 2 - 1, Lynch O. ⚽,
77', Rye J. ↓, Curley M. ↑,
78', Acquaye B. ↓, Reindorf M. ↑,
80', Gilliead A. ↓, Parker H. ↑,
84', Atkinson H. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
90+2', Milnes B. ↓, Tonks T. ↑,
90+2', Mugabi B. ↓, Thomas T. ↑,
90+3', Milnes B. ↓, Tonks T. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In recent matches, Tamworth has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Carlisle is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tamworth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Carlisle is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tamworth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Carlisle	15	6	5	4	28:21	7	23
18	Tamworth	14	5	2	7	25:31	-6	17

Outrights of English National League for now

Carlisle: 2.48% Tamworth: 0.72%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamworth
English National League
10.03.26	Wealdstone - Tamworth	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Woking - Tamworth	3:1 ✺
03.03.26	Yeovil Town - Tamworth	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Tamworth - Boreham Wood	3:2 ✺
24.02.26	Tamworth - Altrincham	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLLWW
- Carlisle United
English National League
10.03.26	Aldershot Town - Carlisle United	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Carlisle United - Southend United	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Eastleigh - Carlisle United	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Hartlepool United - Carlisle United	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Carlisle United - Yeovil Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
29.11.25	Carlisle United - Tamworth	2:1

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