Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 37

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Valley Parade (Bradford)

Referee: Bourne D. (Eng)


	Bradford City		Hartlepool United

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	7
	1.52	4	6
	1.55	4.05	5.5
	1.53	4.14	6.92
	1.52	3.8	6.5
	1.51	4.15	6.5	Watch
	1.5	3.95	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.57)	4.01 ↑ (3.8)	6.32 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bradford City
61.8%

Draw
23.4%

Hartlepool United
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

24.1%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

23.2%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	16.7%	25%

Bradford City - Hartlepool United Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Bradford will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Hartlepool will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bradford: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs) and 22).

Bradford has the most likely position - 5 (16.21%), project points - 77, currently - 59, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (60%), a chance of promoted (38%), a very small chance of win league (2%).

Hartlepool has the most likely position - 23 (44.09%), project points - 39, currently - 30, a good chance of relegated (70%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

This event has very small quality 8, importance 57, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bradford won 2.

Bradford is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Hartlepool is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bradford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Bradford have a series of guest games.

In this match Bradford is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Bradford to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Bradford won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Bradford won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bradford City
English League Two
11.03.23	Newport County - Bradford City	1:1 ✺
07.03.23	Walsall - Bradford City	0:0 ✺
04.03.23	Bradford City - Colchester United	2:0 ✺
28.02.23	Gillingham - Bradford City	0:2 ✺
25.02.23	Doncaster Rovers - Bradford City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TTWWW
- Hartlepool United
English League Two
11.03.23	Hartlepool United - Northampton Town	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Tranmere Rovers - Hartlepool United	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Hartlepool United - Walsall	3:3 ✺
21.02.23	Hartlepool United - Newport County	0:1 ✺
18.02.23	AFC Wimbledon - Hartlepool United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
20.08.22	Hartlepool United - Bradford City	1:3
15.03.22	Hartlepool United - Bradford City	0:2
19.10.21	Bradford City - Hartlepool United	1:3
Club Friendly
02.08.14	Bradford City - Hartlepool United	1:1
English EFL Trophy
03.09.13	Hartlepool United - Bradford City	5:0
09.10.12	Hartlepool United - Bradford City	0:1 pen.

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