Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 33

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Plough Lane (London)

Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)


	AFC Wimbledon		Hartlepool United

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	4.5
	1.85	3.5	4.1
	1.8	3.5	4.3
	1.88	3.63	4.38
	1.88	3.3	4.2
	1.85	3.52	4.3	Watch
	1.84	3.35	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.91)	3.47 ↑ (3.25)	4.25 ↓ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Wimbledon
50.9%

Draw
27.1%

Hartlepool United
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

28.9%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

28.3%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

AFC Wimbledon - Hartlepool United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Hartlepool will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Wimbledon has the most likely position - 13 (10.79%), has project points - 64, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (12%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Hartlepool has the most likely position - 23 (34.75%), has project points - 39, has currently - 26, has a good chance of relegated (68%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has very small quality 6, importance 32, small match rating 19. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 1.

Recent matches Wimbledon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hartlepool is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Wimbledon is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Wimbledon won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Wimbledon
English League Two
14.02.23	Northampton Town - AFC Wimbledon	0:0 ✺
11.02.23	AFC Wimbledon - Carlisle United	0:0 ✺
04.02.23	Leyton Orient - AFC Wimbledon	1:0 ✺
28.01.23	AFC Wimbledon - Stockport County	1:0 ✺
14.01.23	AFC Wimbledon - Bradford City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TTLWT
- Hartlepool United
English League Two
14.02.23	Crewe Alexandra - Hartlepool United	2:0 ✺
11.02.23	Hartlepool United - Sutton United	2:2 ✺
04.02.23	Doncaster Rovers - Hartlepool United	0:1 ✺
28.01.23	Hartlepool United - Colchester United	1:2 ✺
24.01.23	Carlisle United - Hartlepool United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
06.08.22	Hartlepool United - AFC Wimbledon	0:0
25.03.16	Hartlepool United - AFC Wimbledon	1:0
31.10.15	AFC Wimbledon - Hartlepool United	2:0
28.02.15	Hartlepool United - AFC Wimbledon	1:0
23.08.14	AFC Wimbledon - Hartlepool United	1:2
28.01.14	AFC Wimbledon - Hartlepool United	2:1
22.10.13	Hartlepool United - AFC Wimbledon	3:1

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