The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hartlepool United 24.4%
Draw 29.7%
Walsall 46%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.1%
30.1%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.3%
29.9%
39.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hartlepool United's form might have worsened.
Walsall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Walsall's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hartlepool United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Walsall, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
23.1%
23.1%
53.8%
Hartlepool United - Walsall Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Walsall will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Walsall: 26.7% – 80.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 and 13).
Hartlepool has the most likely position - 23 (48.91%), has project points - 38, has currently - 27, has a good chance of relegated (74%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Walsall has the most likely position - 11 (9.93%), has project points - 65, has currently - 42, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (16%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has very small quality6, small importance30, small match rating18. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Walsall will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Hartlepool won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
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