The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tranmere Rovers 52.6%
Draw 26.8%
Hartlepool United 20.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.7%
26.3%
18.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.9%
23%
21.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
20%
40%
Tranmere Rovers - Hartlepool United Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Tranmere will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Hartlepool will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 22).
Tranmere has the most likely position - 13 (13.35%), has project points - 65, has currently - 47, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Hartlepool has the most likely position - 23 (45.84%), has project points - 39, has currently - 28, has a good chance of relegated (68%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
This event has very small quality7, importance31, small match rating19. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Tranmere won 1.
Recent matches Tranmere is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Hartlepool is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Hartlepool could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Tranmere is a favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Tranmere won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Tranmere won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.
Watch
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