Match Info

Date: 7 May 2022, Saturday


	Braintree Town		Billericay Town

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.6	3.4
	1.76	3.85	3.5
	1.83	4.1	3.2
	1.91	4.22	3.29
	1.7	3.6	4.2
	1.87	3.78	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.61)	3.86 ↓ (4.31)	3.52 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braintree Town
50.4%

Draw
23.7%

Billericay Town
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

21%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

20.8%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braintree Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Braintree Town's form might have worsened.

Billericay Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Braintree Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Billericay Town than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Braintree Town - Billericay Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Billericay is Relegated to

Recent matches Braintree is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Billericay is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Braintree is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Braintree won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Braintree won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braintree Town
English National League South
02.05.22	Dartford - Braintree Town	0:1 ✺
30.04.22	Braintree Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:1 ✺
23.04.22	Oxford City - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
15.04.22	Braintree Town - Concord Rangers	0:1 ✺
09.04.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Braintree Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWTLL
- Billericay Town
English National League South
02.05.22	Billericay Town - Ebbsfleet United	1:2 ✺
30.04.22	Eastbourne Borough - Billericay Town	1:2 ✺
23.04.22	Billericay Town - Bath City	1:2 ✺
18.04.22	Chelmsford City - Billericay Town	2:1 ✺
15.04.22	Billericay Town - Dartford	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
30.08.21	Billericay Town - Braintree Town	2:2
28.12.20	Billericay Town - Braintree Town	3:1
English FA Trophy
15.12.20	Billericay Town - Braintree Town	1:2 penalties
English National League South
07.03.20	Billericay Town - Braintree Town	2:1
06.08.19	Braintree Town - Billericay Town	2:3

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