Match Info

Date: 29 September 2021, Wednesday


	Brasil de Pelotas		Brusque

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.8	2.85	2.6
	2.8	2.85	2.5	Watch
	3.1	2.75	2.47
	3.3	2.87	2.62
	3	2.8	2.5
	3.05	3.05	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.59)	2.86 ↓ (2.92)	2.53 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasil de Pelotas
30.9%

Draw
32.4%

Brusque
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

32%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

22.9%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brasil de Pelotas's form might have worsened.

Brusque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+19.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brasil de Pelotas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brusque, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Brasil de Pelotas - Brusque Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Brasil de Pelotas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Brasil de Pelotas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Brasil de Pelotas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie B
26.09.21	Ponte Preta - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0 ✺
21.09.21	Brasil de Pelotas - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
18.09.21	Goiás - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1 ✺
07.09.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Confiança	1:1 ✺
03.09.21	Vasco da Gama - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLTT
- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie B
24.09.21	Brusque - Vasco da Gama	0:1 ✺
21.09.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Brusque	2:2 ✺
17.09.21	Brusque - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
07.09.21	Coritiba - Brusque	4:0 ✺
03.09.21	Brusque - Avaí	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
30.06.21	Brusque - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0
Copa do Brasil
27.08.20	Brusque - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0
12.03.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Brusque	0:1

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