Match Info

Date: 3 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Estádio Augusto Bauer (Brusque)

Referee: Sampaio W. P. (Bra)


	Brusque		Vasco da Gama

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.37	2.9	3
	2.38	2.8	3.1
	2.38	2.9	3.1
	2.52	2.97	3.34
	2.45	2.88	3.1
	2.38	3.02	3.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.43)	2.91 ↓ (2.94)	3.13 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusque
38.5%

Draw
31.9%

Vasco da Gama
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

31.9%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

32.2%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Brusque - Vasco da Gama Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Brusque will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Brusque is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vasco is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vasco could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Brusque: Diego Jardel (Injury) Para (Injury) Sandro (Injury) Toty (Injury)

There will not play in Vasco: Gabriel Dias (Injury) Raniel (Injury) Riquelme (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Brusque won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Brusque won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie B
30.08.22	Tombense - Brusque	1:0 ✺
26.08.22	Brusque - Londrina	0:1 ✺
20.08.22	Chapecoense - Brusque	1:0 ✺
12.08.22	Brusque - Ponte Preta	2:1 ✺
09.08.22	CS Alagoano - Brusque	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLLWL
- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie B
31.08.22	Vasco da Gama - Guarani	2:1 ✺
28.08.22	Bahia - Vasco da Gama	2:1 ✺
18.08.22	CS Alagoano - Vasco da Gama	2:0 ✺
13.08.22	Vasco da Gama - Tombense	3:1 ✺
09.08.22	Ponte Preta - Vasco da Gama	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
26.05.22	Vasco da Gama - Brusque	2:0
24.09.21	Brusque - Vasco da Gama	0:1
27.06.21	Vasco da Gama - Brusque	2:1

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