The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brasil de Pelotas 16.8%
Draw 25.1%
Náutico Capibaribe 58.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.1%
29.4%
41.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.9%
22.1%
55.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brasil de Pelotas's form might have worsened.
Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Náutico Capibaribe's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brasil de Pelotas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Brasil de Pelotas - Náutico Capibaribe Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C and 9).
Brasil de Pelotas is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Náutico is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Náutico is a favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Brasil de Pelotas won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Brasil de Pelotas won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
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