Match Info

Date: 20 April 2021, Tuesday


	Brentford		Cardiff City

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	6
	1.62	3.8	5.75
	1.65	3.8	5.9
	1.62	3.8	5.2
	1.66	3.91	5.74
	1.63	3.75	5.5
	1.66	3.96	5.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.69)	3.83 ↑ (3.65)	5.65 ↑ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brentford
58.3%

Draw
24.9%

Cardiff City
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

25.8%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

15.7%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-24.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brentford that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cardiff City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69%	15.5%	15.5%

Brentford - Cardiff City Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Brentford will win (votes: 40 - 69%). Cardiff will win (votes: 9 - 15.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 15.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brentford: 57.1% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Championship (Play Offs) and 8).

Brentford has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (82%), has a chance of promoted (46%), has not chance of win league.

Cardiff has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Brentford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Brentford is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Brentford won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Brentford won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brentford FC
English League Championship
17.04.21	Brentford - Millwall	0:0 ✺
10.04.21	Preston North End - Brentford	0:5 ✺
06.04.21	Brentford - Birmingham City	0:0 ✺
03.04.21	Huddersfield Town - Brentford	1:1 ✺
20.03.21	Brentford - Nottingham Forest	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TWTTT
- Cardiff City
English League Championship
16.04.21	Reading - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
10.04.21	Cardiff City - Blackburn Rovers	2:2 ✺
05.04.21	Sheffield Wednesday - Cardiff City	5:0 ✺
02.04.21	Cardiff City - Nottingham Forest	0:1 ✺
20.03.21	Swansea City - Cardiff City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
26.12.20	Cardiff City - Brentford	2:3
29.02.20	Cardiff City - Brentford	2:2
11.12.19	Brentford - Cardiff City	2:1
13.03.18	Brentford - Cardiff City	1:3
18.11.17	Cardiff City - Brentford	2:0
08.04.17	Cardiff City - Brentford	2:1
26.12.16	Brentford - Cardiff City	2:2

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