Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 3

Date: 25 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea)

Referee: Langford O. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free, myCANAL
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
Nigeria	Sporty TV
North-central-america	ESPNPlay Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 3
Poland	Viaplay
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports+, Sky Ultra
Usa	Paramount+
World	Disney+


	Swansea City		Cardiff City

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.8	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3.8
	2.03	3.45	3.7	Watch
	2.04	3.5	3.91
	1.98	3.5	3.85	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.75
	2.01	3.58	3.64	Watch
	2.03	3.45	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.05)	3.49 ↓ (3.5)	3.77 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swansea City
47.4%

Draw
27.3%

Cardiff City
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

27.1%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

26.9%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	6.2%	18.7%

Swansea City - Cardiff City Predictions

Users Predictions: Swansea City will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vigouroux L. (G) 2. Key J. 5. Cabango B. 6. Darling H. 14. Tymon J. 17. Franco G. 8. Grimes M. (C) 35. Ronald 31. Cooper O. 10. Eom Ji-Seong 20. Cullen L.	1. Horvath E. (G) 38. Ng P. 12. Chambers C. 5. Daland J. 11. O'Dowda C. 3. Siopis M. 18. Robertson A. 19. Meite Y. 10. Ramsey A. (C) 16. Willock C. 15. Kanga W.
Substitutes
15. Abbey N. 47. Abdulai A. 7. Allen J. 19. Bianchini F. 29. Broome N. (G) 4. Fulton J. 26. Naughton K. 3. Pedersen K. 9. Vipotnik Z.	21. Alnwick J. (G) 45. Ashford C. 23. Bagan J. 27. Colwill R. 34. El Ghazi A. 4. Goutas D. 35. Rinomhota A. 47. Robinson C. 32. Tanner O.
Coaches
Williams L.	Bulut E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Cullen L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Eom Ji-Seong ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,
59', Robertson A. ↓, Colwill R. ↑,
67', Franco G. ↓, Fulton J. ↑,
67', Cooper O. ↓, Vipotnik Z. ↑,
69', Meite Y. ↓, Tanner O. ↑,
73', Willock C. ↓, El Ghazi A. ↑,
73', Kanga W. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
77', Key J. ↓, Naughton K. ↑,
78', Cullen L. ↓, Allen J. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Robinson C. ⚽, Tanner O. (A),
90+6', Allen J. 🟨,
90+10', Ng P. 🟨,
90+10', Darling H. 🟨,
90+11', Colwill R. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Swansea won 4.

Swansea is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Cardiff is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Swansea have a series of home games.

Swansea will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Swansea: Allen J. (Toe Injury) Fisher A. (Groin Injury) Ginnelly J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Cardiff: Collins J. (Leg Injury) Davies I. (Knee Injury) Etete K. (Leg Injury) Fish W. (Ankle Injury) Ralls J. (Groin Injury) Tsunoda R. (Muscle Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Swansea won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Swansea won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swansea City
English League Championship
17.08.24	Swansea City - Preston North End	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
13.08.24	Swansea City - Gillingham	3:1 ✺
English League Championship
10.08.24	Middlesbrough - Swansea City	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Swansea City - Rio Ave	3:0 ✺
27.07.24	Swansea City - Vardar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWT
- Cardiff City
English League Championship
17.08.24	Burnley - Cardiff City	5:0 ✺
English League Cup
13.08.24	Cardiff City - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
English League Championship
10.08.24	Cardiff City - Sunderland	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Bristol Rovers - Cardiff City	0:2 ✺
31.07.24	Cardiff City - Reading	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
16.03.24	Swansea City - Cardiff City	2:0
16.09.23	Cardiff City - Swansea City	2:0
01.04.23	Cardiff City - Swansea City	2:3
23.10.22	Swansea City - Cardiff City	2:0
02.04.22	Cardiff City - Swansea City	0:4
17.10.21	Swansea City - Cardiff City	3:0
20.03.21	Swansea City - Cardiff City	0:1

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