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Current Win Probability
Brentford 59.3%
Draw 25%
Birmingham City 15.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.9%
24.2%
14.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.9%
14.7%
24.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brentford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-22.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brentford that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Birmingham City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76.6%
10.9%
12.5%
Brentford - Birmingham City Predictions
Users Predictions:
64 users predict this event. Brentford will win (votes: 49 - 76.6%). Birmingham will win (votes: 8 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 10.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Brentford: 66.2% – 87%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Championship (Play Offs) and 21).
Brentford has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (78%), has a chance of promoted (49%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Birmingham has a chance of relegated (34%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Birmingham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Brentford have a series of guest games.
Recently Birmingham have a series of home games.
In this match Brentford is a favorite.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Brentford won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15-13.
Including matches at home between the teams Brentford won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-7.
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