The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Reading 17.6%
Draw 22.6%
Cardiff City 59.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27%
25.8%
47.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.1%
24.9%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reading's form might have worsened.
Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cardiff City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reading, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cardiff City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
37.5%
37.5%
25%
Reading - Cardiff City Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Cardiff will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 4% – 71%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Reading (5.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Reading (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pereira J. (G) 12. Burns F. 15. O'Connor P. 3. Dorsett A. J. R. 24. Nyambe R. 10. Wing L. (C) 18. Rinomhota A. 5. Roberts H. 11. Kyerewaa D. 32. Lane P. 9. Ehibhatiomhan K.
13. Trott N. (G) 38. Ng P. 4. Osho G. 48. Lawlor D. 3. Bagan J. 6. Wintle R. 18. Robertson A. 11. Tanner O. 10. Colwill R. (C) 16. Willock C. 8. Kellyman O.
Substitutes
2. Abrefa K. 6. Fraser L. 7. Marriott J. 31. Norcott T. (G) 57. Patton S. 30. Ritchie M. 22. Stickland M.
27. Colwill J. 2. Fish W. 47. Robinson C. 22. Salech Y. 23. Scanlon C. 14. Turnbull D. 41. Turner M. (G)
Coaches
Richardson L.
Barry-Murphy B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Colwill R. ⚽, Wintle R. (A),
41', Osho G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 0 - 2, Kellyman O. ⚽, Wintle R. (A),
63', Kyerewaa D. 🟨,
63', Wintle R. 🟨,
64', O'Connor P. 🟨,
67', Robertson A. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
69', Burns F. 🟨,
72', Lawlor D. 🟨,
73', 1 - 2, Kyerewaa D. ⚽,
74', Lane P. ↓, Marriott J. ↑,
82', Lawlor D. ↓, Fish W. ↑,
82', Colwill R. ↓, Colwill J. ↑,
82', Willock C. ↓, Salech Y. ↑,
86', 1 - 3, Ng P. ⚽, Kellyman O. (A),
88', Rinomhota A. ↓, Fraser L. ↑,
88', Roberts H. ↓, Ritchie M. ↑,
88', Nyambe R. ↓, Abrefa K. ↑,
90', Tanner O. ↓, Robinson C. ↑,
90+10', Fish W. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reading won 1.
Reading is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Cardiff has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Cardiff may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Cardiff is the team to beat.
There will not play in Reading: Elliott B.
(Thigh Injury)
O'Mahony M.
(Knee Injury)
Ward B.
(Leg Injury)
Williams R.
(Injury)
There will not play in Cardiff: Davies I.
(Hamstring Injury)
King E.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Reading: Doyle K.
(Inactive)
Marriott J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Cardiff: Chambers C.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Reading won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Reading won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
Outrights of English League One for now
Reading: 6.34%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Reading
9
4
3
2
22:11
11
15
Last Results with these Odds
Reading - the odds 3.39 are the expected chance of winning is 27.01%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Cardiff City - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 47.2%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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Pereira J. (G) 
Burns F. 
O'Connor P. 
Dorsett A. J. R. 
Nyambe R. 
Rinomhota A. 
Kyerewaa D. 
Lane P. 
Osho G. 
Lawlor D. 
Robertson A. 
Abrefa K. 
Fraser L. 
Ritchie M. 
Salech Y. 
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