Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/32-finals

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani (Monopoli)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
World	Onefootball


	Monopoli		Casarano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3	3.2
	2.18	3.05	3.25	Watch
	2.32	3.01	3.44
	2.23	2.96	3.33	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.1
	2.22	2.98	3.4
	2.06	3.35	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.05)	3.04 ↓ (3.3)	3.3 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monopoli
42.1%

Draw
30.1%

Casarano
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

27.8%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

28.4%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monopoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monopoli than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Monopoli - Casarano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Albertazzi M. (G) 26. Manzi C. 35. Piccinini S. 5. Angileri A. 16. Valenti B. 19. Calcagni R. 8. Battocchio C. 70. Fedel G. 34. Ronco D. 11. Fall M. 9. Longo S.	1. Bacchin F. (G) 24. Negro S. 33. Mercadante M. 5. Celiento D. 3. Giraudo F. 27. Versienti L. 17. Maiello R. 11. Ferrara V. 10. Chirico C. 9. Grandolfo F. 46. Leonetti V.
Substitutes
80. Bagatti N. 37. Bordo L. 4. Bove D. 20. Cascella R. 15. Greco J. 31. Oyewale S. 18. Paukstys S. 22. Piana E. (G) 21. Scipioni E. 7. Vinciguerra A.	25. Bachini M. 35. Cerbone S. 22. Chiorra N. (G) 8. D'Alena A. 80. Di Dio F. 93. Ferilli M. (G) . Gega E. 29. Gyamfi B. 23. Logoluso G. 4. Lulic K. 7. Palumbo F. 6. Patrignani G. 18. Perez L. 16. Santarcangelo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Ferrara V. ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Grandolfo F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Manzi C. ↓, Oyewale S. ↑,
46', Angileri A. ↓, Greco J. ↑,
46', Calcagni R. ↓, Scipioni E. ↑,
48', Ronco D. 🟨,
70', Fedel G. ↓, Vinciguerra A. ↑,
71', Bacchin F. 🟨,
74', Ferrara V. ↓, Lulic K. ↑,
74', Ronco D. ↓, Bove D. ↑,
85', Leonetti V. ↓, Cerbone S. ↑,
85', Negro S. ↓, Bachini M. ↑,
85', Versienti L. ↓, D'Alena A. ↑,
89', Grandolfo F. ↓, Perez L. ↑,

Preview

In case of a draw home team advances.

Monopoli has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Casarano is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Monopoli is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Monopoli won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Monopoli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Monopoli 1966
Italian Serie C Group C
26.04.26	Potenza - Monopoli	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Monopoli - Foggia	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Atalanta U23 - Monopoli	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Monopoli - Trapani	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Picerno - Monopoli	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLTT
- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
26.04.26	Altamura - Casarano	0:4 ✺
19.04.26	Casarano - Crotone	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Latina - Casarano	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Casarano - Potenza	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Casarano - Giugliano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
09.03.26	Monopoli - Casarano	2:1
01.11.25	Casarano - Monopoli	1:3

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