Match Info

ITALY: Coppa Italia - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 September 2024, Thursday

Location: Brianteo (Monza)

Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	El Canal del Futbol app


	Monza		Brescia

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.7	4.5	Watch
	1.78	3.4	4.6
	1.78	3.55	4.7	Watch
	1.81	3.55	5.07
	1.85	3.57	4.36	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.4
	1.83	3.34	4.57	Watch
	1.8	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.8)	3.5 ↑ (3.4)	4.62 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monza
52.6%

Draw
27%

Brescia
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

27.1%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

26.6%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.5%	5.3%	5.3%

Monza - Brescia Predictions

Users Predictions: Monza will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Pizzignacco S. (G) 33. D'Ambrosio D. 5. Caldirola L. 44. Carboni A. 55. Martins K. 27. Valoti M. 32. Pessina M. (C) 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 20. Forson O. 10. Caprari G. 24. Maric M.	22. Andrenacci L. (C) 24. Dickmann L. 5. Calvani G. 32. Papetti A. 18. Jallow A. 21. Fogliata R. 4. Paghera F. 26. Bertagnoli M. 27. Olzer G. 29. Borrelli G. 7. Juric A.
Substitutes
63. Berretta A. 42. Bianco A. 38. Bondo W. 11. Djuric M. 4. Izzo A. 14. Maldini D. 22. Mari P. 69. Mazza A. (G) 13. Pereira P. 52. Postiglione N. 53. Scaramelli E. 30. Turati S. (G)	28. Adorni D. 12. Avella M. (G) 39. Besaggio M. 9. Bianchi F. 25. Bisoli D. 8. Bjarnason B. 16. Buhagiar T. 19. Corrado N. 11. Moncini G. 33. Muca Z. 20. Nuamah P. 6. Verreth M.
Coaches
Nesta A.	Maran R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Kyriakopoulos G. ⚽, Martins K. (A),
11', 2 - 0, Pessina M. ⚽, Kyriakopoulos G. (A),
33', Paghera F. 🟨,
38', Papetti A. 🟨,
40', 3 - 0, Caprari G. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Carboni A. ↓, Mari P. ↑,
46', Pessina M. ↓, Bianco A. ↑,
46', Kyriakopoulos G. ↓, Pereira P. ↑,
46', Paghera F. ↓, Verreth M. ↑,
46', Olzer G. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
46', Borrelli G. ↓, Corrado N. ↑,
68', 3 - 1, Nuamah P. ⚽, Juric A. (A),
73', Caldirola L. ↓, Izzo A. ↑,
76', Juric A. ↓, Moncini G. ↑,
84', D'Ambrosio D. ↓, Bondo W. ↑,
87', Fogliata R. ↓, Buhagiar T. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Monza won 3.

Monza is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Brescia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Monza is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Monza won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Monza won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Italian Serie A
22.09.24	Monza - Bologna	1:2 ✺
15.09.24	Monza - Inter Milan	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Fiorentina - Monza	2:2 ✺
24.08.24	Monza - Genoa	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Empoli - Monza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTTLT
- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
21.09.24	Pisa - Brescia	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Brescia - Frosinone	4:0 ✺
31.08.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Brescia	1:2 ✺
27.08.24	Reggiana - Brescia	2:0 ✺
24.08.24	Brescia - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
22.05.22	Monza - Brescia	2:1
18.05.22	Brescia - Monza	1:2
18.04.22	Monza - Brescia	1:1
05.12.21	Brescia - Monza	0:2
10.05.21	Monza - Brescia	0:2
25.01.21	Brescia - Monza	0:1
Club Friendly
08.09.18	Monza - Brescia	1:2

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