Match Info

ITALY: Coppa Italia - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 September 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brianteo (Monza) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	18:30	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	13:30	Fox Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:30	Arena Premium 2
Canada	12:30	TSN 3
Croatia	18:30	Arena Sport 4
Ecuador	11:30	El Canal del Futbol
Germany	18:30	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch
Italy	18:30	20 Mediaset
Kosovo	18:30	ART Motion Sport 3
Norway	18:30	VG+
Portugal	17:30	Sport TV2
Russia	19:30	MATCH! Futbol 1
Slovenia	18:30	Arena Sport 2
Spain	18:30	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Ukraine	19:30	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United Kingdom	17:30	Premier Sports Player
International	16:30	El Canal del Futbol app


	Monza		Brescia

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.7	4.5	Watch
	1.78	3.4	4.6
	1.78	3.55	4.7	Watch
	1.81	3.55	5.07
	1.85	3.57	4.36	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.4
	1.83	3.34	4.57	Watch
	1.8	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.8)	3.5 ↑ (3.4)	4.62 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monza
52.6%

Draw
27%

Brescia
20.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.2%

27.1%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

26.6%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.5%	5.3%	5.3%

Monza - Brescia Predictions

Users Predictions: Monza will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Pizzignacco S. (G) 33. D'Ambrosio D. 5. Caldirola L. 44. Carboni A. 55. Martins K. 27. Valoti M. 32. Pessina M. (C) 77. Kyriakopoulos G. 20. Forson O. 10. Caprari G. 24. Maric M.	22. Andrenacci L. (C) 24. Dickmann L. 5. Calvani G. 32. Papetti A. 18. Jallow A. 21. Fogliata R. 4. Paghera F. 26. Bertagnoli M. 27. Olzer G. 29. Borrelli G. 7. Juric A.
Substitutes
63. Berretta A. 42. Bianco A. 38. Bondo W. 11. Djuric M. 4. Izzo A. 14. Maldini D. 22. Mari P. 69. Mazza A. (G) 13. Pereira P. 52. Postiglione N. 53. Scaramelli E. 30. Turati S. (G)	28. Adorni D. 12. Avella M. (G) 39. Besaggio M. 9. Bianchi F. 25. Bisoli D. 8. Bjarnason B. 16. Buhagiar T. 19. Corrado N. 11. Moncini G. 33. Muca Z. 20. Nuamah P. 6. Verreth M.
Coaches
Nesta A.	Maran R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Kyriakopoulos G. ⚽, Martins K. (A),
11', 2 - 0, Pessina M. ⚽, Kyriakopoulos G. (A),
33', Paghera F. 🟨,
38', Papetti A. 🟨,
40', 3 - 0, Caprari G. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Carboni A. ↓, Mari P. ↑,
46', Pessina M. ↓, Bianco A. ↑,
46', Kyriakopoulos G. ↓, Pereira P. ↑,
46', Paghera F. ↓, Verreth M. ↑,
46', Olzer G. ↓, Nuamah P. ↑,
46', Borrelli G. ↓, Corrado N. ↑,
68', 3 - 1, Nuamah P. ⚽, Juric A. (A),
73', Caldirola L. ↓, Izzo A. ↑,
76', Juric A. ↓, Moncini G. ↑,
84', D'Ambrosio D. ↓, Bondo W. ↑,
87', Fogliata R. ↓, Buhagiar T. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Monza won 3.

Monza is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Brescia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Monza is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Monza won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Monza won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monza 1912
Italian Serie A
22.09.24	Monza - Bologna	1:2 ✺
15.09.24	Monza - Inter Milan	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Fiorentina - Monza	2:2 ✺
24.08.24	Monza - Genoa	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Empoli - Monza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTTLT
- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
21.09.24	Pisa - Brescia	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Brescia - Frosinone	4:0 ✺
31.08.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Brescia	1:2 ✺
27.08.24	Reggiana - Brescia	2:0 ✺
24.08.24	Brescia - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
22.05.22	Monza - Brescia	2:1
18.05.22	Brescia - Monza	1:2
18.04.22	Monza - Brescia	1:1
05.12.21	Brescia - Monza	0:2
10.05.21	Monza - Brescia	0:2
25.01.21	Brescia - Monza	0:1
Club Friendly
08.09.18	Monza - Brescia	1:2

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