Match Info

Serie A - Round 32

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Unipol Domus (Cagliari)

Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	215 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	Shasha
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Cagliari		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.9	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3.3
	2.12	3.05	3.95	Watch
	2.16	3.15	4.27
	2.01	3.19	4.22	Watch
	2	3	3.9
	2.17	3.19	3.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.18)	3.13 ↓ (3.22)	3.92 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cagliari
45.2%

Draw
30.5%

Cremonese
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

29.5%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

30.1%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	54.5%	9.1%

Cagliari - Cremonese Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Cremonese will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.7% – 75.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caprile E. (G) 15. Rodriguez J. 26. Mina Y. 4. Mazzitelli L. 2. Palestra M. 90. Folorunsho M. 10. Gaetano G. 14. Deiola A. (C) 33. Obert A. 29. Borrelli G. 94. Esposito Se.	1. Audero E. (G) 24. Terracciano F. 6. Baschirotto F. (C) 5. Luperto S. 3. Pezzella G. 22. Floriani R. 38. Bondo W. 33. Grassi A. 27. Vandeputte J. 90. Bonazzoli F. 77. Okereke D.
Substitutes
8. Adopo M. 20. Albarracin A. 19. Belotti A. 24. Ciocci G. (G) 22. Dossena A. 9. Kilicsoy S. 27. Liteta J. 31. Mendy P. 32. Pedro J. 18. Raterink O. 12. Sherri A. (G) 25. Sulemana I. 37. Trepy Y. 28. Zappa G.	4. Barbieri T. 15. Bianchetti M. 23. Ceccherini F. 9. Djuric M. 30. Faye M. 55. Folino F. 21. Lottici Tessadri S. 69. Nava L. (G) 32. Payero M. 99. Sanabria A. 16. Silvestri M. (G) 7. Zerbin A.
Coaches
Pisacane F.	Giampaolo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Terracciano F. 🟨,
31', Mazzitelli L. ↓, Adopo M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Borrelli G. ↓, Mendy P. ↑,
61', Folorunsho M. ↓, Pedro J. ↑,
62', Adopo M. 🟨,
63', 1 - 0, Esposito Se. ⚽, Pedro J. (A),
68', Vandeputte J. ↓, Payero M. ↑,
68', Floriani R. ↓, Sanabria A. ↑,
73', Terracciano F. ↓, Barbieri T. ↑,
78', Bondo W. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,
78', Okereke D. ↓, Zerbin A. ↑,
88', Esposito Se. ↓, Belotti A. ↑,
89', Rodriguez J. ↓, Dossena A. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 17).

Cagliari has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cremonese is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cagliari could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Cagliari: Felici M. (Knee Injury) Idrissi R. (Knee Injury) Pavoletti L. (Injury)

There will not play in Cremonese: Collocolo M. (Injury) Maleh Y. (Red Card) Moumbagna F. (Muscle Injury) Thorsby M. (Injury) Vardy J. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Cagliari won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Cagliari: 0.38%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5:2	3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
04.04.26	Sassuolo - Cagliari	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Cagliari - Napoli	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Pisa - Cagliari	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Cagliari - Como	1:2 ✺
27.02.26	Parma - Cagliari	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie A
05.04.26	Cremonese - Bologna	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Parma - Cremonese	0:2 ✺
16.03.26	Cremonese - Fiorentina	1:4 ✺
08.03.26	Lecce - Cremonese	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Cremonese - Milan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
08.01.26	Cremonese - Cagliari	2:2
Coppa Italia
24.09.24	Cagliari - Cremonese	1:0
28.10.20	Cagliari - Cremonese	1:0
Club Friendly
26.07.18	Cagliari - Cremonese	1:0

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