Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 25

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Silvio Piola (Novara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Novara		Brescia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.5	2.9	2.05
	3.35	3	2.15	Watch
	3.47	2.99	2.25
	3.3	3.1	2.17	Watch
	3.2	2.8	2.15
	3.25	3.14	2.26	Watch
	3.25	3	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↓ (3.81)	2.99 ↓ (3.22)	2.19 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novara
27.5%

Draw
30.6%

Brescia
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

28.6%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

27.8%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brescia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brescia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Novara - Brescia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Boseggia E. (G) 28. Cannavaro A. 26. Lorenzini F. (C) 15. Khailoti O. 71. D'Alessio L. 19. Collodel R. 99. Basso G. 72. Agyemang G. 11. Ledonne N. 7. Lanini E. 9. Alberti T.	66. Gori S. (G) 82. Armati L. 4. Sorensen F. 28. Silvestri L. 3. Rizzo A. 8. Balestrero D. (C) 15. De Francesco A. 18. De Maria V. 93. Marras M. 9. Vido L. 99. Crespi V.
Substitutes
36. Arboscello R. 5. Bertoncini D. 6. Citi A. 65. Cortese A. 20. da Graca C. 17. Dell'Erba D. 8. Di Cosmo L. 3. Lartey S. 4. Malaspina M. 23. Morosini L. 16. Raffaelli M. (G) 21. Ranieri R. 12. Rossetti M. (G) 27. Scarpetta J.	24. Boci B. 30. Cantamessa S. 97. Cazzadori D. 11. Cisco A. 71. Davolio N. 21. Fogliata R. 1. Liverani L. (G) 42. Moretti L. 45. Valente M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lanini E. ↓, Arboscello R. ↑,
60', De Francesco A. 🟨,
61', D'Alessio L. ↓, Di Cosmo L. ↑,
72', De Maria V. ↓, Fogliata R. ↑,
72', Vido L. ↓, Cazzadori D. ↑,
72', Alberti T. ↓, Morosini L. ↑,
78', Balestrero D. ↓, Cisco A. ↑,
81', Marras M. 🟨,
88', Armati L. ↓, Moretti L. ↑,
90', Di Cosmo L. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

Recent performances by Novara have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Brescia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Brescia could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Novara won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Brescia	9	5	4	0	16:6	10	19
13	Novara	9	2	3	4	8:12	-4	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
01.02.26	Pro Vercelli - Novara	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Novara - Pro Patria	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Trento - Novara	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Novara - Dolomiti Bellunesi	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Inter U23 - Novara	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTTT
- Union Brescia
Italian Serie C Group A
02.02.26	Giana Erminio - Brescia	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Brescia - Renate	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Pro Vercelli - Brescia	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Brescia - Trento	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Brescia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
25.09.25	Brescia - Novara	1:1

Novara - Brescia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide