Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 10

Date: 19 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola (Gorgonzola) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Vingo G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	20:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Max


	Giana Erminio		Brescia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.75	3.60	1.58
	5.1	3.6	1.58	Watch
	6.05	3.85	1.57
	5.2	3.72	1.59	Watch
	5.95	3.75	1.55
	5.46	3.85	1.6	Watch
	5	3.8	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.36 ↑ (5.3)	3.74 ↑ (3.56)	1.57 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giana Erminio
17.1%

Draw
24.5%

Brescia
58.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.4%

25.8%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

24.9%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giana Erminio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Giana Erminio - Brescia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mazza A. (G) 19. Mora C. 23. Tornaghi P. 60. Rovinelli E. 24. Ruffini L. 7. Pinto D. 25. Zanchetta M. 11. Comelli S. 10. Renda F. 26. Ballabio M. (C) 8. Magazzu L.	43. Zacchi G. (G) 95. Sina S. 28. Silvestri L. (C) 8. Balestrero D. 15. Casasola T. 14. Mallamo A. 6. Mercati A. 25. Rizzo Pinna A. 24. Boci B. 91. Spagnoli A. 30. Pellegrini J.
Substitutes
12. Azzolari E. (G) 28. Di Bitonto C. 13. Golin M. 27. Manzoni F. 21. Muhameti E. 3. Nucifero T. 4. Piazza A. 9. Quaggio A. 6. Saggionetto N. 1. Zenti A. (G)	82. Armati L. 93. Coulibaly S. 18. De Maria V. 7. Di Molfetta D. 26. Frigerio M. R. 66. Gori S. (G) 27. Lamesta A. 1. Liverani L. (G) 5. Pasini N. 3. Rizzo A. 4. Sorensen F.
Coaches
Tacchinardi M.	Corini E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Balestrero D. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Comelli S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Balestrero D. ↓, De Maria V. ↑,
55', Mora C. ↓, Manzoni F. ↑,
61', Mallamo A. ↓, Di Molfetta D. ↑,
65', Renda F. ↓, Nucifero T. ↑,
65', Zanchetta M. ↓, Muhameti E. ↑,
75', Comelli S. ↓, Quaggio A. ↑,
75', Ruffini L. ↓, Piazza A. ↑,
77', Pellegrini J. ↓, Coulibaly S. ↑,
78', Boci B. ↓, Frigerio M. R. ↑,
79', De Maria V. 🟨,
82', Silvestri L. 🟨,
86', 1 - 1, Di Molfetta D. ⚽, Rizzo Pinna A. (A),
88', Pinto D. 🟨,
90+1', Quaggio A. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 1, Quaggio A. ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 19th in the Serie C - Play Out and 2nd in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (Quarter - finals)).

In recent outings, Giana Erminio has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Brescia is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Brescia for this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Giana Erminio has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:9 (averaging 0.7:3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Giana Erminio against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Brescia	11	6	4	1	19:9	10	22
15	Giana Erminio	11	2	5	4	12:14	-2	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
11.10.26	Renate - Giana Erminio	2:2 ✺
04.10.26	Treviso - Giana Erminio	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Giana Erminio - Pro Vercelli	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Folgore Caratese - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
17.09.26	Giana Erminio - Trento	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTTTT
- Union Brescia
Italian Serie C Group A
09.10.26	Brescia - Pro Vercelli	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Lecco - Brescia	2:2 ✺
27.09.26	Brescia - Dolomiti Bellunesi	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Alcione - Brescia	0:4 ✺
17.09.26	Brescia - Treviso	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Brescia - Giana Erminio	5:2
Italian Serie C Group A
02.02.26	Giana Erminio - Brescia	0:2
21.09.25	Brescia - Giana Erminio	2:0

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