Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 24

Date: 2 February 2026, Monday

Location: Stadio Citta di Gorgonzola (Gorgonzola)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Giana Erminio		Brescia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.45	2.92	2.18	Watch
	3.61	2.94	2.25
	3.54	2.79	2.24	Watch
	3.3	2.7	2.2
	3.59	2.82	2.14	Watch
	3.5	2.85	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↓ (4.32)	2.84 ↓ (2.99)	2.21 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giana Erminio
26.2%

Draw
32.3%

Brescia
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

30.4%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

30%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giana Erminio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Giana Erminio's performance.

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brescia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giana Erminio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brescia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Giana Erminio - Brescia Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Giana Erminio will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Brescia will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Giana Erminio (votes: 3 - 50%). Brescia (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mazza A. (G) 26. Previtali M. 6. Ferri L. 18. Cannistra P. 90. Vitale V. 7. Pinto D. 14. Marotta M. 20. Renda F. 24. Ruffini L. 11. Galeandro A. 29. Samele L.	66. Gori S. (G) 82. Armati L. 28. Silvestri L. 4. Sorensen F. 93. Marras M. 8. Balestrero D. (C) 15. De Francesco A. 27. Lamesta A. 18. De Maria V. 99. Crespi V. 97. Cazzadori D.
Substitutes
32. Azzolari E. 5. Berretta A. 13. Colombara M. 19. Duca T. 97. Gabbiani G. 37. Lischetti L. 8. Nelli J. 3. Nucifero T. 23. Occhipinti E. 4. Piazza A. 16. Rizzo A. 1. Zenti A. (G)	30. Cantamessa S. 11. Cisco A. 21. Fogliata R. 51. Grazioli N. (G) 1. Liverani L. (G) 3. Rizzo A. 45. Valente M. 9. Vido L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Balestrero D. 🟨,
9', 0 - 1, Crespi V. ⚽,
45+1', Lamesta A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Samele L. ↓, Lischetti L. ↑,
46', Previtali M. ↓, Duca T. ↑,
52', Lamesta A. 🟨,
55', Cazzadori D. ↓, Rizzo A. ↑,
59', Pinto D. ↓, Berretta A. ↑,
59', Cannistra P. 🟨,
64', Cannistra P. ↓, Colombara M. ↑,
70', Vitale V. ↓, Gabbiani G. ↑,
73', Crespi V. ↓, Vido L. ↑,
78', Renda F. 🟨,
79', 0 - 2, Balestrero D. ⚽,
83', De Maria V. ↓, Fogliata R. ↑,
83', Marras M. ↓, Cisco A. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).

In recent matches, Giana Erminio has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Brescia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Brescia will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Giana Erminio won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Brescia	9	5	4	0	16:6	10	19
19	Giana Erminio	8	0	4	4	6:10	-4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
25.01.26	Giana Erminio - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Pro Patria - Giana Erminio	0:4 ✺
10.01.26	Giana Erminio - Renate	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Trento - Giana Erminio	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	Giana Erminio - Cittadella	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLL
- Union Brescia
Italian Serie C Group A
24.01.26	Brescia - Renate	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Pro Vercelli - Brescia	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Brescia - Trento	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Brescia	1:2 ✺
22.12.25	Brescia - Inter U23	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
21.09.25	Brescia - Giana Erminio	2:0

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