Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon)

Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 5
Mexico	FOX One, Fox Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV6
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 4
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports XTRA, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball, VIX App


	Lyon		Brest

	1	X	2
	1.65	4	5.5	Watch
	1.65	4.15	4.9	Watch
	1.66	4.04	5.03	Watch
	1.65	3.7	4.8
	1.69	4.12	5.54	Watch
	1.63	4.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.63)	4.04 ↑ (4.04)	5.13 ↑ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lyon
57.7%

Draw
23.7%

Brest
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

23.3%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

22.3%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.8%	15.2%	9.1%

Lyon - Brest Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 25 - 75.8%). Brest will win (votes: 3 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 15.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 61.2% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyon (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Brest (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Brest (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Lyon (1.80) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyon (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Brest (votes: 3 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Greif D. (G) 98. Maitland-Niles A. 22. Mata C. 21. Kluivert R. 3. Tagliafico N. (C) 23. Morton T. 16. Abner Vinicius 6. Tessmann T. 10. Sulc P. 9. Endrick 17. Moreira A.	30. Coudert G. (G) 77. Lala K. 5. Chardonnet B. (C) 44. Coulibaly S. 2. Locko B. 24. Tousart L. 13. Chotard J. 8. Magnetti H. 10. Del Castillo R. 19. Ajorque L. 14. Labeau Lascary R.
Substitutes
35. Da Silva M. (G) 39. de Carvalho M. 40. Descamps R. (G) 32. Gomes A. 33. Hateboer H. 45. Himbert R. 7. Karabec A. 5. Mangala O. 44. Merah K.	4. Diaz Jr. M. 7. Dina Ebimbe J. 23. Doumbia K. 27. Guindo D. 1. Majecki R. (G) 33. Makalou H. 99. Mboup P. 12. Zogbe L.
Coaches
Fonseca P.	Roy E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', Del Castillo R. 🟥,
41', 1 - 0, Sulc P. ⚽, Moreira A. (A),
45+1', 2 - 0, Abner Vinicius ⚽, Endrick (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Maitland-Niles A. 🟨,
57', Labeau Lascary R. ↓, Mboup P. ↑,
69', Tousart L. ↓, Doumbia K. ↑,
69', Ajorque L. ↓, Guindo D. ↑,
74', Maitland-Niles A. ↓, Merah K. ↑,
74', Tessmann T. ↓, Mangala O. ↑,
81', Locko B. ↓, Dina Ebimbe J. ↑,
81', Lala K. ↓, Zogbe L. ↑,
86', Abner Vinicius 🟨,
87', 2 - 1, Dina Ebimbe J. ⚽, Chardonnet B. (A),
89', Endrick ↓, Karabec A. ↑,
90', Moreira A. ↓, Himbert R. ↑,
90', Abner Vinicius ↓, Hateboer H. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 2.

Lyon is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Brest has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Brest may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lyon is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Lyon: Fofana M. (Ankle Injury) Ghezzal R. (Muscle Injury) Molebe E. (Inactive) Niakhate M. (International duty) Nuamah E. (Knee Injury) Tolisso C. (Red Card)

There will not play in Brest: Balde M. (Injury) Le Cardinal J. (Red Card)

We predict that Lyon will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

Lyon: 4.01% Brest: 0.35%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10:2	8	11
11	Brest	5	1	2	2	7:8	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Lyon
Coupe De France
11.01.26	Lille - Lyon	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
03.01.26	Monaco - Lyon	1:3 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.25	Lyon - Saint-Cyr Collonges	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
14.12.25	Lyon - Le Havre	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Lyon - Go Ahead Eagles	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWWWW
- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
04.01.26	Brest - Auxerre	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France
19.12.25	Avranches - Brest	2:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
13.12.25	Rennes - Brest	3:1 ✺
05.12.25	Brest - Monaco	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Strasbourg - Brest	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
02.11.25	Brest - Lyon	0:0
02.03.25	Lyon - Brest	2:1
11.01.25	Brest - Lyon	2:1
14.04.24	Lyon - Brest	4:3
23.09.23	Brest - Lyon	1:0
01.02.23	Lyon - Brest	0:0
28.12.22	Brest - Lyon	2:4

Upcoming Matches