Match Info

FRANCE: Coupe de France - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stade Francis-Le Blé (Brest)

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	DirecTV Sports


	Brest		Dunkerque

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.7	5.25	Watch
	1.65	4.1	4.9	Watch
	1.67	4.09	4.95
	1.62	4.1	4.87	Watch
	1.65	3.7	4.8
	1.66	3.98	5.05	Watch
	1.65	4.1	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.47)	3.97 ↓ (4.5)	4.96 ↓ (6.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Coupe De France with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Sports 2

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Current Win Probability

Brest
57.2%

Draw
23.8%

Dunkerque
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

20.8%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

22.7%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brest's form might have worsened.

Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	5.9%	17.6%

Brest - Dunkerque Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Coudert G. (G) 7. Lala K. 5. Chardonnet B. (C) 3. Ndiaye A. 12. Zogbe L. 20. Lees-Melou P. 8. Magnetti H. 26. Pereira Lage M. 45. Camara M. 17. Sima A. 19. Ajorque L.	1. Jaouen E. (G) 17. Youssouf B. 23. Sasso V. (C) 21. Kondo G. 2. Georgen A. 28. Raghouber U. 8. Rivera M. 88. Diop M. 20. Bardeli E. 77. Al Saad M. 9. Tejan K.
Substitutes
23. Amavi J. 14. Balde M. 40. Bizot M. (G) 9. Doumbia K. 21. Faivre R. 6. Fernandes E. 22. Haidara M. 25. Le Cardinal J. 28. Martin J.	31. Ba A. 19. Bammou Y. 18. Courtet G. 16. Ortola A. (G) 11. Pitu A. 5. Queiros D. 26. Sangante O. 22. Skytta N. 80. Yassine G.
Coaches
Roy E.	Castro L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Sima A. 🟨,
23', Kondo G. 🟨,
33', Magnetti H. 🟨,
35', Georgen A. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Pereira Lage M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Diop M. ↓, Skytta N. ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Camara M. ⚽, Pereira Lage M. (A),
64', Camara M. ↓, Faivre R. ↑,
64', Magnetti H. ↓, Fernandes E. ↑,
65', Tejan K. ↓, Courtet G. ↑,
65', Youssouf B. ↓, Sangante O. ↑,
65', Al Saad M. ↓, Bammou Y. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Sasso V. ⚽, Raghouber U. (A),
74', Pereira Lage M. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
74', Sima A. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
78', Rivera M. ↓, Yassine G. ↑,
81', 2 - 2, Sangante O. ⚽,
85', 2 - 3, Sangante O. ⚽, Courtet G. (A),
90', Zogbe L. ↓, Doumbia K. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Brest is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dunkerque is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dunkerque could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Brest is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Brest: Amavi J. (Hamstring Injury) Del Castillo R. (Knee Injury) Locko B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Salah I. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Dunkerque: Essimi M. (Injury) Fernandez N. (Injury) Fortuna N. (Injury) Linguet A. (Injury) Queiros D. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
23.02.25	Strasbourg - Brest	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
19.02.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Brest	7:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
14.02.25	Brest - Auxerre	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.02.25	Brest - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
07.02.25	Nantes - Brest	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLTLW
- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
21.02.25	Dunkerque - Clermont	3:0 ✺
15.02.25	Dunkerque - Paris FC	1:0 ✺
10.02.25	Caen - Dunkerque	0:2 ✺
Coupe De France
04.02.25	Lille - Dunkerque	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
31.01.25	Dunkerque - Martigues	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 WWWWL

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