Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 25

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Auguste-Delaune (Reims)

Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN 3, DAZN 4, DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
India	GXR World
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Russia	Okko Sport
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 8
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+


	Reims		Auxerre

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.3	2.88	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.87
	2.52	3.25	2.88	Watch
	2.6	3.27	2.96
	2.5	3.26	2.92	Watch
	2.45	3.1	3
	2.46	3.37	3.06	Watch
	2.52	3.25	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.14)	3.26 ↓ (3.41)	2.93 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS Xtra En Español

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Current Win Probability

Reims
38.2%

Draw
29.3%

Auxerre
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

27.9%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

28.3%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reims has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reims's form might have worsened.

Auxerre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reims than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reims, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Auxerre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	17.9%	39.3%

Reims - Auxerre Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Reims will win (votes: 12 - 42.9%). Auxerre will win (votes: 11 - 39.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reims: 24.6% – 61.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Diouf Y. (G) 3. Hiroki S. 2. Okumu J. 24. Gbane M. 18. Akieme S. 6. Atangana Edoa V. 30. Patrick J. 7. Ito J. 10. Teuma T. (C) 17. Nakamura K. 22. Diakite O.	16. Leon D. (G) 23. Hoever K. 3. Osho G. 4. Jubal Junior (C) 92. Akpa C. 14. Mensah G. 10. Perrin G. 42. Owusu E. 27. Danois K. 25. Traore H. J. 9. Bair T.
Substitutes
23. Buta 16. Butelle L. (G) 67. Diakhon M. 85. Ibrahim H. 31. Jeng M. 21. Kipre C. 72. Kone A. 55. Sangui N. 87. Tia A.	19. Aye F. 40. De Percin T. (G) 20. Diomande S. 18. Diousse A. 26. Joly P. 80. Massengo H. 45. Onaiwu A. 12. Oppegard F. 17. Sinayoko L.
Coaches
Diawara S.	Pelissier C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Bair T. ⚽, Perrin G. (A),
24', 0 - 2, Traore H. J. ⚽,
31', Traore H. J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Teuma T. ↓, Diakhon M. ↑,
66', Patrick J. ↓, Kone A. ↑,
66', Diakite O. ↓, Ibrahim H. ↑,
67', Akieme S. 🟨,
74', Traore H. J. ↓, Onaiwu A. ↑,
74', Bair T. ↓, Sinayoko L. ↑,
80', Hoever K. ↓, Joly P. ↑,
85', Perrin G. ↓, Massengo H. ↑,
86', Akieme S. ↓, Sangui N. ↑,
90', Atangana Edoa V. ↓, Tia A. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Reims won 3.

Reims is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Auxerre is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Reims could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Reims have a series of guest games.

Reims will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Reims: Daramy M. (Knee Injury) Fofana Y. (Ankle Injury) Gabriel Moscardo (Injury) Khadra R. (Knee Injury) Kipre C. (Red Card) Olliero A. (Ankle Injury) Siebatcheu J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Auxerre: Buayi-Kiala N. (Knee Injury) Coulibaly L. (Knee Injury) Zossou A. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Reims: Sangui N. (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Reims won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:7 (average 1.5:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Reims won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade de Reims
French Ligue 1
28.02.25	Monaco - Reims	3:0 ✺
Coupe De France
25.02.25	Angers - Reims	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
21.02.25	Rennes - Reims	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Reims - Angers	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Lyon - Reims	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLL
- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 1
02.03.25	Auxerre - Strasbourg	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Auxerre - Olympique Marseille	3:0 ✺
14.02.25	Brest - Auxerre	2:2 ✺
09.02.25	Auxerre - Toulouse	2:2 ✺
01.02.25	Monaco - Auxerre	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
20.10.24	Auxerre - Reims	2:1
05.02.23	Auxerre - Reims	0:0
23.10.22	Reims - Auxerre	2:1
Club Friendly
16.07.22	Auxerre - Reims	0:2
French Ligue 2
24.04.18	Auxerre - Reims	1:4
27.11.17	Reims - Auxerre	2:0
Club Friendly
07.07.17	Reims - Auxerre	1:2

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