Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 3

Date: 31 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Francis-Le Blé (Brest)

Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Brest		Saint-Étienne

	1	X	2
	1.73	4.1	4.5	Watch
	1.73	3.8	4.6
	1.72	3.9	4.65
	1.84	3.75	4.55
	1.77	3.89	4.7	Watch
	1.73	3.7	4.8
	1.8	3.97	4.81	Watch
	1.72	3.9	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.76)	3.88 ↓ (3.89)	4.66 ↑ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brest
54.7%

Draw
24.7%

Saint-Étienne
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

24.4%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

27.2%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brest than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.2%	23.5%	35.3%

Brest - Saint Étienne Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 17.8% – 64.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Bizot M. (G) 7. Lala K. 5. Chardonnet B. 25. Le Cardinal J. 23. Amavi J. 45. Camara M. 8. Magnetti H. 21. Faivre R. 17. Sima A. 19. Ajorque L. 10. Del Castillo R.	30. Larsonneur G. (G) 27. Macon Y. 21. Batubinsika D. 5. Abdelhamid Y. 17. Cornud P. 22. Davitashvili Z. 37. Amougou M. 26. Fomba L. 18. Cafaro M. 39. Aiki A. 9. Sissoko I.
Substitutes
11. Camblan A. 30. Coudert G. (G) 44. Coulibaly S. 33. Diop S. 32. Kante I. Y. 28. Martin J. 26. Pereira Lage M. 12. Zogbe L.	8. Appiah D. 34. Gauthier A. 1. Maubleu B. (G) 29. Moueffek A. 14. Mouton L. 3. Nade M. 19. Petrot L. 10. Tardieu F. 25. Wadji I.
Coaches
Roy E.	Dall'Oglio O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Camara M. ⚽,
31', Fomba L. 🟨,
32', 2 - 0, Del Castillo R. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', Macon Y. 🟨,
59', Macon Y. ↓, Appiah D. ↑,
59', Aiki A. ↓, Wadji I. ↑,
59', Fomba L. ↓, Moueffek A. ↑,
67', Batubinsika D. 🟨,
67', Sima A. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
74', Amavi J. ↓, Zogbe L. ↑,
74', Faivre R. ↓, Pereira Lage M. ↑,
74', Le Cardinal J. ↓, Coulibaly S. ↑,
78', 3 - 0, Ajorque L. ⚽,
81', Cafaro M. 🟨,
83', Cornud P. 🟨,
84', 4 - 0, Lala K. (Pen),
85', Cornud P. ↓, Petrot L. ↑,
85', Amougou M. ↓, Tardieu F. ↑,
85', Del Castillo R. ↓, Camblan A. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brest won 4.

Brest has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Saint-Étienne is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Brest have a series of guest games.

In this match Brest is a favorite.

There will not play in Brest: Locko B. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Brest won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Brest won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Brestois 29
French Ligue 1
25.08.24	Lens - Brest	2:0 ✺
17.08.24	Brest - Olympique Marseille	1:5 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Newcastle United - Brest	1:0 ✺
03.08.24	Juventus - Brest	2:2 ✺
31.07.24	Napoli - Brest	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLTL
- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 1
24.08.24	Saint-Étienne - Le Havre	0:2 ✺
17.08.24	Monaco - Saint-Étienne	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.08.24	Getafe - Saint-Étienne	1:0 ✺
31.07.24	Montpellier - Saint-Étienne	1:2 ✺
27.07.24	Saint-Étienne - Villarreal	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
16.04.22	Saint-Étienne - Brest	2:1
01.12.21	Brest - Saint-Étienne	1:0
24.04.21	Saint-Étienne - Brest	1:2
21.11.20	Brest - Saint-Étienne	4:1
16.02.20	Brest - Saint-Étienne	3:2
18.08.19	Saint-Étienne - Brest	1:1
19.01.13	Brest - Saint-Étienne	0:1

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