Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Amex Stadium (Brighton)

Referee: Jones R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Albania	SuperSport 5
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Mix
Bangladesh	Toffee Live
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
China	Migu
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 6, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 4
Iceland	SÝN Sport 3
India	Disney+ Hotstar, JioStar, JioTV app, Star Sports Select 2
Indonesia	Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport MIX
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	SuperSport 5
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Canal+ Sport 3, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	HBO Max
Mongolia	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	Viaplay, Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ
Nigeria	SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	Setanta Sports
Poland	Canal+ Extra 3
Portugal	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	Hub Premier 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Football, Supersport Maximo 1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 2 Bar Espana, DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	Sky Sport Mix
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4, Digiturk
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBCSN, NBC Universo, NBC, Telemundo
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	FPT Play


	Brighton & Hove Albion		Crystal Palace

	1	X	2
	1.50	4.50	5.75
	1.50	4.60	5.75
	1.47	4.75	6.25
	1.53	4.80	6.20
	1.53	4.81	5.9	Watch
	1.49	4.65	6.05
	1.54	4.83	6.26	Watch
	1.49	4.70	6.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.61)	4.71 ↑ (4.32)	6.02 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brighton & Hove Albion
63.7%

Draw
20.4%

Crystal Palace
15.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.4%

22.2%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

21.4%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Crystal Palace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Brighton & Hove Albion - Crystal Palace Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Brighton & Hove (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Brighton & Hove Albion will win (18 of 22 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.7% – 97.94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brighton & Hove Albion will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Brighton & Hove (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase and 13th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 1.

Brighton & Hove arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Crystal Palace has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Crystal Palace may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Brighton & Hove is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Brighton & Hove: Azeez F. (Abdominal strain) Ferguson E. (Ankle Injury) Minteh Y. (Injury) Mitoma K. (Hamstring Injury) Tzimas S. (Knee Injury) Wieffer M. (Knee Injury) Yohanna Z. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Crystal Palace: Disasi A. (Red Card) Riad C. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Brighton & Hove: Struijk P. (Rest).

Doubtful / questionable for Crystal Palace: Chilwell B. (Injury) Henderson D. (Foot Injury) Mateta J. (Hamstring Injury) Tomiyasu T. (Calf Injury).

Our forecast points to a victory for Brighton & Hove in today's match, at odds of 1.51.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Brighton & Hove has recorded 5 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:24 (averaging 1.2:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Brighton & Hove against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 13:13 goals (averaging 1.2:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Brighton	6	4	1	1	18:5	13	13
13	Crystal Palace	6	2	1	3	9:12	-3	7

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Brighton: 3.21% Crystal Palace: 0.12%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brighton & Hove Albion
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Kauno Žalgiris	4:0 ✺
English Premier League
10.10.26	Sunderland - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
16.09.26	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:3 ✺
English Premier League
13.09.26	Coventry City - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WWWWW
- Crystal Palace
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Lyon - Crystal Palace	3:2 ✺
English Premier League
11.10.26	Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Crystal Palace - Bristol City	0:2 ✺
English Premier League
20.09.26	Leeds United - Crystal Palace	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.26	Crystal Palace - Lech Poznań	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
08.02.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Crystal Palace	0:1
09.11.25	Crystal Palace - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:0
05.04.25	Crystal Palace - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1
15.12.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Crystal Palace	1:3
03.02.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Crystal Palace	4:1
21.12.23	Crystal Palace - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1
15.03.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Crystal Palace	1:0

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