Match Info

Premier League - Round 28

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Amex Stadium (Brighton) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Albania	15:00	SuperSport 4
Argentina	11:00	Disney+
Armenia	18:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	01:00	Stan Sport
Austria	15:00	Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	20:00	Toffee Live
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 6
Brazil	11:00	Disney+
Canada	09:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, FuboTV
China	22:00	Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	16:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	15:00	CANAL+ Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	15:00	Viaplay
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	16:00	Viaplay
France	15:00	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Germany	15:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 6, WOW
Greece	16:00	Nova Sports 5
Hong Kong	22:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 3
Iceland	14:00	SÝN Sport 3, SÝN Sport
India	19:30	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Italy	15:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
Japan	23:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	17:00	Gotv
Kosovo	15:00	SuperSport 4
Malaysia	22:00	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Canal+ Action, Canal+, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	08:00	FOX One
Mongolia	22:00	Premier Sports 3
Myanmar	20:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	19:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	15:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:00	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 4
Nigeria	15:00	SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1
Norway	15:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 3
Pakistan	19:00	ARY ZAP
Peru	09:00	Disney+
Philippines	22:00	Setanta Sports
Portugal	14:00	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	16:00	Voyo
Serbia	15:00	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	15:00	Voyo
South Africa	16:00	SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1
South Korea	23:00	Coupang Play
Spain	15:00	DAZN 3, DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Switzerland	15:00	Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	21:00	AIS PLAY
Turkey	17:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
Ukraine	16:00	Pershiy
United Kingdom	14:00	Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports+
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+
Vietnam	21:00	FPT Play


	Brighton & Hove Albion		Nottingham Forest

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.5
	2.1	3.5	3.3
	2.15	3.3	3.6
	2.15	3.45	3.74
	2.1	3.51	3.69	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.5
	2.14	3.56	3.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.12)	3.44 ↓ (3.56)	3.56 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brighton & Hove Albion
45.3%

Draw
27.8%

Nottingham Forest
26.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45%

26.8%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

27.4%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.4%	30.2%	9.4%

Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 32 - 60.4%). Nottingham will win (votes: 5 - 9.4%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 30.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brighton & Hove: 47.2% – 73.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Nottingham (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Brighton & Hove (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Nottingham (3.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Brighton & Hove (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brighton & Hove Albion will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Brighton & Hove (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Nottingham (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Verbruggen B. (G) 27. Wieffer M. 6. van Hecke J. P. 5. Dunk L. (C) 24. Kadioglu F. 13. Hinshelwood J. 20. Milner J. 30. Gross P. 25. Gomez D. 18. Welbeck D. 22. Mitoma K.	26. Sels M. (G) 34. Aina O. 31. Milenkovic N. 5. Murillo 3. Williams N. 6. Sangare I. 8. Anderson E. 21. Hutchinson O. 10. Gibbs-White M. (C) 7. Hudson-Odoi C. 19. Igor Jesus
Substitutes
17. Baleba C. 21. Boscagli O. 29. De Cuyper M. 19. Kostoulas C. 7. March S. 11. Minteh Y. 10. Rutter G. 23. Steele J. (G) 34. Veltman J.	9. Awoniyi T. 29. Bakwa D. 23. Cunha 16. Dominguez N. 18. Gunn A. (G) 24. McAtee J. 14. Ndoye D. 25. Netz L. 22. Yates R.
Coaches
Hurzeler F.	Pereira V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Gomez D. ⚽, Gross P. (A),
13', 1 - 1, Gibbs-White M. ⚽, Igor Jesus (A),
15', 2 - 1, Welbeck D. ⚽, Hinshelwood J. (A),
30', Anderson E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Wieffer M. 🟨,
56', Williams N. ↓, Netz L. ↑,
56', Hutchinson O. ↓, Cunha ↑,
71', Wieffer M. ↓, Veltman J. ↑,
74', Hudson-Odoi C. ↓, Bakwa D. ↑,
82', Aina O. ↓, Ndoye D. ↑,
83', Igor Jesus ↓, Awoniyi T. ↑,
84', Mitoma K. 🟨,
86', Gomez D. ↓, March S. ↑,
86', Milner J. ↓, Baleba C. ↑,
90+1', Mitoma K. ↓, De Cuyper M. ↑,
90+3', Dunk L. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 2.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Nottingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Brighton & Hove could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Tzimas S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Nottingham: Boly W. (Knee Injury) John Victor (Knee Injury) Sels M. (Groin Injury) Wood Ch. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Ayari Y. (Shoulder Injury) March S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Nottingham: Savona N. (Knee Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Brighton & Hove won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Brighton	8	5	1	2	23:7	16	16
18	Nottingham	8	1	3	4	6:10	-4	6

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Brighton: 4.12% Nottingham: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
21.02.26	Brentford - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
14.02.26	Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:0 ✺
English Premier League
11.02.26	Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Crystal Palace	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Everton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLLT
- Nottingham Forest
UEFA Europa League
26.02.26	Nottingham Forest - Fenerbahçe	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
22.02.26	Nottingham Forest - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Fenerbahçe - Nottingham Forest	0:3 ✺
English Premier League
11.02.26	Nottingham Forest - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:0 ✺
06.02.26	Leeds United - Nottingham Forest	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
30.11.25	Nottingham Forest - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2
English FA Cup
29.03.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest	0:1 penalties
English Premier League
01.02.25	Nottingham Forest - Brighton & Hove Albion	7:0
22.09.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest	2:2
10.03.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Nottingham Forest	1:0
25.11.23	Nottingham Forest - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:3
26.04.23	Nottingham Forest - Brighton & Hove Albion	3:1

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