What is the expert prediction for Chelsea vs Leicester City?

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Chelsea vs Leicester City Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, March 09, 2025)

Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 28

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Stamford Bridge (London)

Referee: Robinson T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, Showmax, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	Play Sports 1, VOOsport World 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	fubo Sports Network 3 DRM
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Action
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 1
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, NOW Premier League 2
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	Siminn Sport 1, Siminn Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
Japan	U-NEXT
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 3, SKY NET Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	HBO Max, MAX, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 3, Sky Sport NOW, TVWan
Nigeria	SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Setanta Sports
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League, SuperSport Variety 3
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN 2 Bar Espana, DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana, Max
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Thailand	True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, USA Network
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus
World	Disney+, Setanta Sports 1 Eurasia


	Chelsea		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	1.22	7	10
	1.23	7	10.5
	1.23	7.2	13	Watch
	1.23	6.9	13
	1.25	7.31	10.69	Watch
	1.2	6.5	13
	1.22	7.43	14.4	Watch
	1.23	7.2	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↑ (1.21)	7.07 ↓ (7.58)	12.2 ↓ (12.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

Watch this match and English Premier League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: USA Network

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Current Win Probability

Chelsea
78.5%

Draw
13.6%

Leicester City
7.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.4%

12.7%

7.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

The chances for Leicester City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.2%	7%	15.8%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 44 - 77.2%). Leicester will win (votes: 9 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 66.3% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanchez R. (G) 29. Fofana W. 4. Adarabioyo T. 6. Colwill L. 3. Cucurella M. 25. Caicedo M. 8. Fernandez E. (C) 7. Neto P. 20. Palmer C. 19. Sancho J. 18. Nkunku C.	30. Hermansen M. (G) 3. Faes W. 4. Coady C. 33. Thomas L. 2. Justin J. 6. Ndidi W. 24. Soumare B. 16. Kristiansen V. 11. El Khannouss B. 9. Vardy J. (C) 20. Daka P.
Substitutes
34. Acheampong J. 39. Amougou M. 64. Antwi G. 5. Badiashile B. 23. Chalobah T. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 32. George T. 12. Jorgensen F. (G) 45. Lavia R.	18. Ayew J. 40. Buonanotte F. 25. Coulibaly W. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 10. Mavididi S. 5. Okoli C. 21. Pereira R. 41. Stolarczyk J. (G) 8. Winks H.
Coaches
Maresca E.	van Nistelrooy R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Palmer C. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, Cucurella M. ⚽, Fernandez E. (A),
66', Soumare B. ↓, Winks H. ↑,
73', Fofana W. ↓, Chalobah T. ↑,
73', Palmer C. ↓, George T. ↑,
73', El Khannouss B. ↓, Buonanotte F. ↑,
83', Kristiansen V. ↓, De Cordova-Reid B. ↑,
84', Justin J. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
84', Daka P. ↓, Mavididi S. ↑,
89', Nkunku C. ↓, Acheampong J. ↑,
90+6', Acheampong J. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chelsea won 4.

Recent matches Chelsea is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leicester has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Leicester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Chelsea have a series of guest games.

In this match Chelsea is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Chelsea: Guiu M. (Muscle Injury) Jackson N. (Thigh Injury) Kellyman O. (Muscle Injury) Madueke N. (Muscle Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)

There will not play in Leicester: Fatawu I. (Knee Injury) Opoku N. (Broken Leg) Souttar H. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Chelsea: Gusto M. (Injury) Lavia R. (Thigh Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Chelsea won 12 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 35:18 (average 1.8:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Chelsea won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:8 (average 1.4:0.9).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelsea
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.03.25	Copenhagen - Chelsea	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
25.02.25	Chelsea - Southampton	4:0 ✺
22.02.25	Aston Villa - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
14.02.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Chelsea	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
08.02.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WWLLL
- Leicester City
English Premier League
27.02.25	West Ham United - Leicester City	2:0 ✺
21.02.25	Leicester City - Brentford	0:4 ✺
15.02.25	Leicester City - Arsenal	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
07.02.25	Manchester United - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
01.02.25	Everton - Leicester City	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
23.11.24	Leicester City - Chelsea	1:2
English FA Cup
17.03.24	Chelsea - Leicester City	4:2
English Premier League
11.03.23	Leicester City - Chelsea	1:3
27.08.22	Chelsea - Leicester City	2:1
19.05.22	Chelsea - Leicester City	1:1
20.11.21	Leicester City - Chelsea	0:3
18.05.21	Chelsea - Leicester City	2:1

Chelsea - Leicester City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide