Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 28

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Stamford Bridge (London)

Referee: Robinson T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Chelsea		Leicester City

	1	X	2
	1.22	7	10
	1.23	7	10.5
	1.23	7.2	13	Watch
	1.23	6.9	13
	1.25	7.31	10.69	Watch
	1.2	6.5	13
	1.22	7.43	14.4	Watch
	1.23	7.2	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↑ (1.21)	7.07 ↓ (7.58)	12.2 ↓ (12.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

Watch this match and English Premier League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: USA Network

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Current Win Probability

Chelsea
78.5%

Draw
13.6%

Leicester City
7.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.4%

12.7%

7.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

The chances for Leicester City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.2%	7%	15.8%

Chelsea - Leicester City Predictions

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 44 - 77.2%). Leicester will win (votes: 9 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 66.3% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanchez R. (G) 29. Fofana W. 4. Adarabioyo T. 6. Colwill L. 3. Cucurella M. 25. Caicedo M. 8. Fernandez E. (C) 7. Neto P. 20. Palmer C. 19. Sancho J. 18. Nkunku C.	30. Hermansen M. (G) 3. Faes W. 4. Coady C. 33. Thomas L. 2. Justin J. 6. Ndidi W. 24. Soumare B. 16. Kristiansen V. 11. El Khannouss B. 9. Vardy J. (C) 20. Daka P.
Substitutes
34. Acheampong J. 39. Amougou M. 64. Antwi G. 5. Badiashile B. 23. Chalobah T. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 32. George T. 12. Jorgensen F. (G) 45. Lavia R.	18. Ayew J. 40. Buonanotte F. 25. Coulibaly W. 14. De Cordova-Reid B. 10. Mavididi S. 5. Okoli C. 21. Pereira R. 41. Stolarczyk J. (G) 8. Winks H.
Coaches
Maresca E.	van Nistelrooy R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Palmer C. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, Cucurella M. ⚽, Fernandez E. (A),
66', Soumare B. ↓, Winks H. ↑,
73', Fofana W. ↓, Chalobah T. ↑,
73', Palmer C. ↓, George T. ↑,
73', El Khannouss B. ↓, Buonanotte F. ↑,
83', Kristiansen V. ↓, De Cordova-Reid B. ↑,
84', Justin J. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
84', Daka P. ↓, Mavididi S. ↑,
89', Nkunku C. ↓, Acheampong J. ↑,
90+6', Acheampong J. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chelsea won 4.

Recent matches Chelsea is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leicester has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Leicester could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Chelsea have a series of guest games.

In this match Chelsea is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Chelsea: Guiu M. (Muscle Injury) Jackson N. (Thigh Injury) Kellyman O. (Muscle Injury) Madueke N. (Muscle Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)

There will not play in Leicester: Fatawu I. (Knee Injury) Opoku N. (Broken Leg) Souttar H. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Chelsea: Gusto M. (Injury) Lavia R. (Thigh Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Chelsea won 12 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 35:18 (average 1.8:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Chelsea won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:8 (average 1.4:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelsea
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.03.25	Copenhagen - Chelsea	1:2 ✺
English Premier League
25.02.25	Chelsea - Southampton	4:0 ✺
22.02.25	Aston Villa - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
14.02.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Chelsea	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
08.02.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WWLLL
- Leicester City
English Premier League
27.02.25	West Ham United - Leicester City	2:0 ✺
21.02.25	Leicester City - Brentford	0:4 ✺
15.02.25	Leicester City - Arsenal	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
07.02.25	Manchester United - Leicester City	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
01.02.25	Everton - Leicester City	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
23.11.24	Leicester City - Chelsea	1:2
English FA Cup
17.03.24	Chelsea - Leicester City	4:2
English Premier League
11.03.23	Leicester City - Chelsea	1:3
27.08.22	Chelsea - Leicester City	2:1
19.05.22	Chelsea - Leicester City	1:1
20.11.21	Leicester City - Chelsea	0:3
18.05.21	Chelsea - Leicester City	2:1

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