Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Selhurst Park (London)

Referee: Robinson T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Vietnam	K+ Sport 1, K+, TV 360


	Crystal Palace		Brighton & Hove Albion

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.2
	2.25	3.55	3.15
	2.33	3.54	3.25
	2.25	3.60	3.02	Watch
	2.38	3.5	3.23	Watch
	2.25	3.6	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.25)	3.53 ↓ (3.6)	3.17 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crystal Palace
42.2%

Draw
27.3%

Brighton & Hove Albion
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

26.4%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

26.1%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Crystal Palace have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.2%	41.3%	6.5%

Crystal Palace - Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Crystal Palace will win (votes: 23 - 51.1%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 3 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 42.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 36.5% – 65.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 1 - 10%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Brighton & Hove (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henderson D. (C) 26. Richards C. 5. Lacroix M. 23. Canvot J. 2. Munoz D. 20. Wharton A. 8. Lerma J. 3. Mitchell T. 7. Sarr I. 18. Kamada D. 14. Mateta J.	1. Verbruggen B. (G) 27. Wieffer M. 6. van Hecke J. P. 5. Dunk L. (C) 24. Kadioglu F. 17. Baleba C. 26. Ayari Y. 11. Minteh Y. 10. Rutter G. 25. Gomez D. 18. Welbeck D.
Substitutes
44. Benitez W. (G) 17. Clyne N. 55. Devenny J. 21. Esse R. 19. Hughes W. 31. Matthews R. (G) 10. Pino Y. 24. Sosa B. 12. Uche C.	21. Boscagli O. 42. Coppola D. 29. De Cuyper M. 49. Knight J. 19. Kostoulas C. 58. Oriola N. 23. Steele J. (G) 9. Tzimas S. 34. Veltman J.
Coaches
Glasner O.	Hurzeler F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Hurzeler F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Baleba C. 🟨,
65', Rutter G. 🟨,
66', Wharton A. ↓, Pino Y. ↑,
75', Rutter G. ↓, Kostoulas C. ↑,
75', Baleba C. ↓, Veltman J. ↑,
83', Kamada D. ↓, Hughes W. ↑,
85', Welbeck D. ↓, Tzimas S. ↑,
85', Gomez D. ↓, De Cuyper M. ↑,
90+2', Lerma J. 🟨,
90+2', van Hecke J. P. 🟨,
90+5', Veltman J. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Brighton & Hove may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Crystal Palace could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Crystal Palace: Cardines R. (Groin Injury) Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Kporha C. (Back Injury) Nketiah E. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Gruda B. (Knee Injury) Hinshelwood J. (Ankle Injury) March S. (Knee Injury) Milner J. (Muscle Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Crystal Palace: Riad C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Mitoma K. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Crystal Palace won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crystal Palace
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Crystal Palace - AZ Alkmaar	3:1 ✺
English Premier League
01.11.25	Crystal Palace - Brentford	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
29.10.25	Liverpool - Crystal Palace	0:3 ✺
English Premier League
26.10.25	Arsenal - Crystal Palace	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	Crystal Palace - AEK Larnaca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWLL
- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
01.11.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Leeds United	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
29.10.25	Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
25.10.25	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	4:2 ✺
18.10.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
05.04.25	Crystal Palace - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1
15.12.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Crystal Palace	1:3
03.02.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Crystal Palace	4:1
21.12.23	Crystal Palace - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1
15.03.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Crystal Palace	1:0
11.02.23	Crystal Palace - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1
14.01.22	Brighton & Hove Albion - Crystal Palace	1:1

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