Match Info

Championship - Round 8

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol)

Referee: Busby J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Bristol City		Ipswich Town

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.3	2.4	Watch
	2.86	3.45	2.42	Watch
	2.85	3.46	2.54
	2.81	3.44	2.45	Watch
	3.15	3.55	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3.15)	3.44 ↓ (3.55)	2.4 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bristol City
32.9%

Draw
27.6%

Ipswich Town
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

26.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

26.7%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Ipswich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	27.8%	44.4%

Bristol City - Ipswich Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Bristol City will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Ipswich will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 17.8% – 64.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Ipswich (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Ipswich (1.79) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 4 - 25%). Ipswich (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Vitek R. (G) 19. Tanner G. 16. Dickie R. (C) 5. Atkinson R. 2. McCrorie R. 4. Randell A. 14. Vyner Z. 21. Neto Borges 10. Twine S. 11. Mehmeti A. 18. Riis E.	1. Palmer A. (G) 19. Furlong D. 26. O'Shea D. (C) 24. Greaves J. 3. Davis L. 32. Nunez M. 5. Matusiwa A. 20. McAteer K. 29. Akpom Ch. 31. Azon I. 47. Clarke J.
Substitutes
30. Armstrong S. 27. Cornick H. 7. Hirakawa Y. 13. Lumley J. (G) 9. Mayulu F. 31. Morrison E. 29. Pecover L. 24. Roberts H. 17. Sykes M.	12. Cajuste J. 8. Egeli S. W. 9. Hirst G. 4. Kipre C. 11. Philogene J. 23. Szmodics S. 14. Taylor J. 28. Walton C. (G) 15. Young A.
Coaches
Struber G.	McKenna K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Atkinson R. ⚽, Mehmeti A. (A),
45+1', McCrorie R. 🟨,
45+5', Mehmeti A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, Clarke J. (Pen),
54', Matusiwa A. 🟨,
56', McCrorie R. ↓, Sykes M. ↑,
65', Davis L. 🟨,
65', Twine S. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
66', Riis E. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
72', Azon I. ↓, Hirst G. ↑,
73', Clarke J. ↓, Philogene J. ↑,
73', Nunez M. ↓, Cajuste J. ↑,
76', Atkinson R. ↓, Roberts H. ↑,
78', Akpom Ch. ↓, Szmodics S. ↑,
84', McAteer K. ↓, Egeli S. W. ↑,
90+3', Vyner Z. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Bristol City: Bird M. (Injury) McNally L. (Knee Injury) O'Leary M. (Ankle Injury) Pring C. (Ankle Injury) Stokes J. (Injury) Williams J. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Ipswich: Burns W. (Knee Injury) Townsend C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Bristol City: Knight J. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol City
English League Championship
27.09.25	Preston North End - Bristol City	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Bristol City - Oxford United	1:3 ✺
13.09.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Bristol City	0:3 ✺
30.08.25	Bristol City - Hull City	4:2 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.25	Fulham - Bristol City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLWWL
- Ipswich Town
English League Championship
27.09.25	Ipswich Town - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Ipswich Town - Sheffield United	5:0 ✺
30.08.25	Ipswich Town - Derby County	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Preston North End - Ipswich Town	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Ipswich Town - Southampton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
05.03.24	Ipswich Town - Bristol City	3:2
25.10.23	Bristol City - Ipswich Town	0:1
12.03.19	Bristol City - Ipswich Town	1:1
28.11.18	Ipswich Town - Bristol City	2:3
17.03.18	Bristol City - Ipswich Town	1:0
30.09.17	Ipswich Town - Bristol City	1:3
30.12.16	Ipswich Town - Bristol City	2:1

Upcoming Matches