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Current Win Probability
Ipswich Town 61.7%
Draw 24.5%
Derby County 13.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.3%
23.9%
16.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.8%
22.1%
18.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ipswich Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
13.3%
6.7%
Ipswich Town - Derby County Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Ipswich (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Ipswich Town will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ipswich Town will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Ipswich (votes: 5 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Palmer A. (G) 15. Young A. 26. O'Shea D. (C) 24. Greaves J. 3. Davis L. 12. Cajuste J. 5. Matusiwa A. 20. McAteer K. 10. Chaplin C. 11. Philogene J. 9. Hirst G.
1. Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) 28. Sanderson D. 22. Johnston M. 5. Clarke M. 3. Forsyth C. 42. Clark B. 27. Travis L. 20. Elder C. 32. Adams E. (C) 10. Brewster R. 9. Morris C.
Substitutes
29. Akpom Ch. 90. Azon I. 47. Clarke J. 2. Furlong D. 18. Johnson B. 4. Kipre C. 23. Szmodics S. 14. Taylor J. 28. Walton C. (G)
4. Batth D. 19. Jackson K. 24. Nyambe R. 18. Ozoh D. 15. Salvesen L. 16. Thompson L. 31. Vickers J. (G) 23. Ward J. 14. Weimann A.
Coaches
McKenna K.
Eustace J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Greaves J. ⚽,
35', Elder C. 🟨,
40', McAteer K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, Morris C. (Pen),
54', Hirst G. 🟨,
55', Adams E. 🟨,
67', Travis L. 🟨,
68', Chaplin C. ↓, Szmodics S. ↑,
68', McAteer K. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
68', Hirst G. ↓, Akpom Ch. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Brewster R. ⚽,
75', Clark B. 🟨,
78', Cajuste J. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
81', Travis L. ↓, Ozoh D. ↑,
81', Brewster R. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
85', Sanderson D. 🟨,
86', Davis L. ↓, Azon I. ↑,
90+1', Clark B. ↓, Weimann A. ↑,
90+5', Johnston M. ↓, Nyambe R. ↑,
90+6', Elder C. ↓, Batth D. ↑,
90+14', Ozoh D. 🟨,
90+15', Morris C. 🟨,
90+16', 2 - 2, Clarke J. (Pen),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 2.
Ipswich has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Derby is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Derby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Ipswich has had a series of away games.
In this match, Ipswich is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Ipswich: Al Hamadi A.
(Calf Injury)
Burns W.
(Knee Injury)
Clarke H.
(Inactive)
Townsend C.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Derby: Agyemang P.
(Hernia)
Beck O.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Blackett-Taylor C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ebuka C.
(Injury)
Langas S.
(Knee Injury)
Nelson C.
(Knee Injury)
Salvesen L.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ipswich won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).
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Palmer A. (G) 
O'Shea D. (C) 
Cajuste J. 
Matusiwa A. 
Hirst G. 
Elder C. 
Adams E. (C) 
Azon I. 
Kipre C. 
Nyambe R. 
Salvesen L. 
Weimann A. 
McKenna K. 
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