The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bristol City 50.3%
Draw 27.4%
Oxford United 22.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.9%
22.6%
18.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.9%
21.9%
17.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bristol City's form might have worsened.
Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bristol City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.2%
6.2%
12.5%
Bristol City - Oxford United Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Users Predictions:
Bristol City will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bristol City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 8 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Vitek R. (G) 14. Vyner Z. 16. Dickie R. 5. Atkinson R. 17. Sykes M. 12. Knight J. (C) 4. Randell A. 2. McCrorie R. 10. Twine S. 11. Mehmeti A. 18. Riis E.
1. Cumming J. (G) 15. Spencer B. 6. Helik M. 2. Long S. 26. Currie J. 7. Placheta P. 14. De Keersmaecker B. 8. Brannagan C. (C) 50. Krastev F. 16. Prelec N. 27. Lankshear W.
Substitutes
30. Armstrong S. 27. Cornick H. 7. Hirakawa Y. 13. Lumley J. (G) 9. Mayulu F. 21. Neto Borges 35. Pecover L. 24. Roberts H. 19. Tanner G.
23. Dembele S. 19. Goodrham T. 12. Harris L. 9. Harris M. 21. Ingram M. (G) 22. Leigh G. 17. Mills S. 18. Sibley L. 4. Vaulks W.
Coaches
Struber G.
Rowett G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
15', Atkinson R. ↓, Tanner G. ↑,
19', 0 - 1, Prelec N. ⚽, De Keersmaecker B. (A),
45+3', 0 - 2, Placheta P. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 2, Mehmeti A. ⚽, Randell A. (A),
55', Knight J. 🟨,
71', Sykes M. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
71', McCrorie R. ↓, Neto Borges ↑,
72', Krastev F. ↓, Mills S. ↑,
72', Placheta P. ↓, Vaulks W. ↑,
73', Prelec N. ↓, Dembele S. ↑,
74', Vitek R. 🟨,
76', Vaulks W. 🟨,
76', Vyner Z. 🟨,
81', Brannagan C. ↓, Harris L. ↑,
84', Currie J. ↓, Leigh G. ↑,
87', Twine S. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
87', Randell A. ↓, Mayulu F. ↑,
89', Dickie R. 🟨,
90', 1 - 3, De Keersmaecker B. ⚽,
Preview
In recent matches, Bristol City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Oxford is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Bristol City is the team to beat.
There will not play in Bristol City: McNally L.
(Knee Injury)
O'Leary M.
(Knee Injury)
Pring C.
(Ankle Injury)
Stokes J.
(Injury)
Williams J.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Oxford: Brown C.
(Knee Injury)
Johnson J.
(Inactive)
ter Haar Romeny O.
(Foot Injury)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 2.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 3:1.3).