Match Info

Date: 9 April 2022, Saturday


	Bristol City		Peterborough United

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.75	4.5
	1.82	3.7	4.2
	1.8	3.8	4.4
	1.8	3.75	4.1
	1.78	4.09	4.48
	1.8	3.6	4.2
	1.82	3.95	4.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.73)	3.81 ↑ (3.5)	4.3 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol City
52.8%

Draw
25%

Peterborough United
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

26.7%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

26.8%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Bristol City - Peterborough United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Bristol City has the most likely position - 19 (32.84%), has project points - 51, has currently - 44, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Peterborough has the most likely position - 24 (70.82%), has project points - 32, has currently - 27, has a very good chance of relegated (>99%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has small quality 30, very small importance 2, small match rating 16. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol City won 4.

Bristol City is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Peterborough is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bristol City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Peterborough have a series of home games.

In this match Bristol City is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Bristol City won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Bristol City won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol City
English League Championship
02.04.22	Bournemouth - Bristol City	3:2 ✺
19.03.22	Bristol City - West Bromwich Albion	2:2 ✺
15.03.22	Barnsley - Bristol City	2:0 ✺
12.03.22	Blackburn Rovers - Bristol City	0:1 ✺
05.03.22	Bristol City - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTLWL
- Peterborough United
English League Championship
05.04.22	Peterborough United - Luton Town	1:1 ✺
02.04.22	Peterborough United - Middlesbrough	0:4 ✺
20.03.22	Queens Park Rangers - Peterborough United	1:3 ✺
16.03.22	Peterborough United - Swansea City	2:3 ✺
12.03.22	Peterborough United - Stoke City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
02.10.21	Peterborough United - Bristol City	2:3
English League One
17.02.15	Bristol City - Peterborough United	2:0
28.11.14	Peterborough United - Bristol City	0:3
11.03.14	Peterborough United - Bristol City	1:2
14.09.13	Bristol City - Peterborough United	0:3
English League Championship
29.12.12	Bristol City - Peterborough United	4:2
18.09.12	Peterborough United - Bristol City	1:2

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