Match Info

Date: 16 March 2022, Wednesday


	Peterborough United		Swansea City

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2.3
	3.2	3.2	2.35
	3.3	3.25	2.35
	3.15	3.1	2.33
	3.29	3.31	2.37
	3.1	3.1	2.38
	3.24	3.24	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↓ (3.3)	3.21 ↓ (3.43)	2.35 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peterborough United
29.8%

Draw
29.7%

Swansea City
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

27.7%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

20.8%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Peterborough United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Swansea City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Peterborough United - Swansea City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 16).

Peterborough has the most likely position - 24 (65.72%), has project points - 31, has currently - 23, has a very good chance of relegated (98%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Swansea has the most likely position - 16 (22.69%), has project points - 59, has currently - 44, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 30, very small importance 4, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Peterborough is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Swansea is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Swansea will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Peterborough won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Peterborough won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peterborough United
English League Championship
12.03.22	Peterborough United - Stoke City	2:2 ✺
08.03.22	Bournemouth - Peterborough United	1:1 ✺
04.03.22	Huddersfield Town - Peterborough United	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
01.03.22	Peterborough United - Manchester City	0:2 ✺
English League Championship
26.02.22	Peterborough United - Hull City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTLLL
- Swansea City
English League Championship
12.03.22	Blackpool - Swansea City	1:0 ✺
08.03.22	Swansea City - Fulham	1:5 ✺
05.03.22	Swansea City - Coventry City	3:1 ✺
28.02.22	West Bromwich Albion - Swansea City	0:2 ✺
19.02.22	Sheffield United - Swansea City	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
30.10.21	Swansea City - Peterborough United	3:0
English League Cup
23.08.16	Peterborough United - Swansea City	1:3

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