Match Info

Date: 15 March 2022, Tuesday


	Barnsley		Bristol City

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.3	3.1
	2.35	3.25	3.1
	2.35	3.3	3.25
	2.32	3.2	3.05
	2.4	3.33	3.21
	2.3	3.25	3.1
	2.35	3.44	3.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.64)	3.3 ↓ (3.35)	3.13 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barnsley
40.6%

Draw
28.9%

Bristol City
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

28.3%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

20.8%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barnsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bristol City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barnsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Barnsley - Bristol City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 18).

Barnsley has the most likely position - 22 (31.3%), has project points - 37, has currently - 25, has a good chance of relegated (67%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Bristol City has the most likely position - 18 (25.95%), has project points - 53, has currently - 43, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

This event has quality 35, small importance 24, small match rating 29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Barnsley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Barnsley will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Barnsley won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Barnsley won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barnsley FC
English League Championship
12.03.22	Barnsley - Fulham	1:1 ✺
08.03.22	Barnsley - Stoke City	1:1 ✺
05.03.22	Derby County - Barnsley	2:0 ✺
26.02.22	Barnsley - Middlesbrough	3:2 ✺
22.02.22	Hull City - Barnsley	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 TTLWW
- Bristol City
English League Championship
12.03.22	Blackburn Rovers - Bristol City	0:1 ✺
05.03.22	Bristol City - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
26.02.22	Nottingham Forest - Bristol City	2:0 ✺
22.02.22	Bristol City - Coventry City	1:2 ✺
19.02.22	Bristol City - Middlesbrough	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
30.10.21	Bristol City - Barnsley	2:1
20.02.21	Bristol City - Barnsley	0:1
17.10.20	Barnsley - Bristol City	2:2
18.01.20	Bristol City - Barnsley	1:0
01.11.19	Barnsley - Bristol City	2:2
30.03.18	Barnsley - Bristol City	2:2
05.08.17	Bristol City - Barnsley	3:1

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